2014 Census estimates this week-

Omaha area Housing and Market statistics

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2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Omaha Cowboy » Sun Mar 22, 2015 7:46 pm

Hello all. Long time no talk. If you're a numbers geek like me, the U.S. Census metro estimates come out "unofficially" on Tuesday, 03/24 and officially on Thursday 03/26. Omaha checked in at 895,000 metro and 932,000 CSA last year. It'll be interesting where we end up wirh this latest estimate. Based on current growth, it's looking like 905,000 metro and 942,000 CSA..

Place your best guess here..

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Coyote » Sun Mar 22, 2015 10:40 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote:Hello all. Long time no talk. If you're a numbers geek like me, the U.S. Census metro estimates come out "unofficially" on Tuesday, 03/24 and officially on Thursday 03/26. Omaha checked in at 895,000 metro and 932,000 CSA last year. It'll be interesting where we end up wirh this latest estimate. Based on current growth, it's looking like 905,000 metro and 942,000 CSA..

Place your best guess here..

Ciao..LiO..Peace...

Let me have another Lagunitas and I'll make my guess.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Garrett » Sun Mar 22, 2015 11:06 pm

Because I always enjoy optimism, 906,357 and 943,862
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Omaha Cowboy » Mon Mar 23, 2015 8:33 am

Another Lagunitas sounds good to me. Thanks Coyote! And I'm liking your optimism Garrett :) ..

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Louie » Tue Mar 24, 2015 2:28 pm

906,358 and 943,683, Bob.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Coyote » Wed Mar 25, 2015 2:20 am

OK, I'll put mine in... 906,359 and 943,684
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Louie » Wed Mar 25, 2015 7:22 am

Coyote wrote:OK, I'll put mine in... 906,359 and 943,684

darn.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Omaha Cowboy » Wed Mar 25, 2015 7:34 am

This is getting intense, lol..

Tomorrow is the day!..

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby bigredmed » Wed Mar 25, 2015 8:34 am

Louie wrote:906,358 and 943,683, Bob.


The one thing that show should add is a giant "You are an A-hole" button that the contestant outbid by a dollar could push and add a random number to the second bid. Then if the first contestant wins, they have to give one of their prizes to the A-hole as a consolation. Sort of "Here is a case of taco shells, thanks for being an A-hole."

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby iamjacobm » Wed Mar 25, 2015 9:06 am

If we grow at the exact same number as last estimate it will be 904,678. The growth rate from 2010 to 2013 was 3.44% if we grow at the same rate of change from 2010 to 2013 than we should see ~905,100 this year.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Garrett » Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:20 am

I'm just waiting for the one person to pull the ultimate move....
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MadMartin8 » Wed Mar 25, 2015 12:06 pm

I think you're all over, so I'm going to say $1.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Coyote » Sat Apr 04, 2015 1:21 pm

Missed in the Russian Attack:
Omaha is now 904,421
I guess we all were a little too optimistic.
2023 is now the target for 1 million.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Mon Apr 06, 2015 12:29 pm

So when we hit the 1million mark will that be the CSA or MSA? And I'm also curious how close the commuter patterns are between Lincoln and Omaha to reach the threshold to combine them. Years ago I was told we were just 8% shy.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Mon Apr 06, 2015 2:11 pm

Here are some other cities in NE and IA:

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby iamjacobm » Mon Apr 06, 2015 3:05 pm

Douglas Country went next about -300. The growth is all the suburban counties.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Mon Apr 06, 2015 6:18 pm

DSM 7.4 and Omaha 4.5 what the fûck!
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby iamjacobm » Mon Apr 06, 2015 6:22 pm

MTO wrote:DSM 7.4 and Omaha 4.5 what the fûck!


They have been growing faster than us for quite a while now. State capitols seem to be doing really well in our region, but they have just as much going for them job wise as we do with less crime and less traffic in a more progressive state.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Mon Apr 06, 2015 8:14 pm

Well I'm not rain man but by rough eyeball calculations by the time we hit 1 million DSM should be about 750,000. And by then we better darn well have lincoln combined with Omaha (1.4 million).
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Louie » Tue Apr 07, 2015 6:57 am

iamjacobm wrote:Douglas Country went next about -300. The growth is all the suburban counties.

Where did you get -300? It says 2013-537k and 2014-543k.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby iamjacobm » Wed Apr 08, 2015 2:19 pm

My bad I was going off memory there and forgot the details. We were -300 domestic migration. International migration and births were the drivers of growth in Douglas.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Louie » Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:33 pm

Ah, now that makes sense.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Thu May 21, 2015 4:03 pm

Here is a chart showing the city population estimates from 7/1/14:

Looks like Omaha did very well, better than any other city except for Sioux Falls.

Image7-1-14 Populations by Scott Stronck, on Flickr

Edit: Added a few more Iowa cities, but Omaha still looks very nice compared to other large cities. Currently, based on the new numbers, Omaha is ranked 41st, recently passing Colorado Springs. Less than 5,000 to go to pass Virginia Beach for 40th.
Last edited by skinzfan23 on Fri May 22, 2015 8:16 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Thu May 21, 2015 4:08 pm

At this pace, Omaha would pass the 1/2 million mark by 2020.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Thu May 21, 2015 4:15 pm

Now THAT'S more like it.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby RNcyanide » Fri May 22, 2015 3:58 am

Isn't Sioux Falls in South Dakota?
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Fri May 22, 2015 8:14 am

RNcyanide wrote:Isn't Sioux Falls in South Dakota?

Haha, yeah...just corrected the chart and added a few more cities.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Fri May 22, 2015 8:55 am

What are La Vista, Papillon, Gretna... numbers?
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Fri May 22, 2015 9:41 am

MTO wrote:What are La Vista, Papillon, Gretna... numbers?

Gretna: 5,890 (32.6% increase since 2010)
La Vista: 17,636 (11.9% increase since 2010)
Papillion: 23,270 (23.2% increase since 2010)
Ralston: 7,216 (21.4% increase since 2010)

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Fri May 22, 2015 11:50 am

:shock:

How can Alston grow so fast being land locked?
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Fri May 22, 2015 9:18 pm

MTO wrote::shock:

How can Alston grow so fast being land locked?

I think that growth happened around 2011, when all the growth around the Ralston Arena happened. The Oaks apts were built on the former golf course and they have 276 units. So if there are 2.5 people per unit, that alone is around an additional nearly 700 people.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby daveoma » Sat May 23, 2015 1:18 am

It looks like if the trend continues Omaha proper will have a higher population than Kansas City proper. :)

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Sat May 23, 2015 7:50 pm

Given these data points "we" are growing a touch over 15%, 17.7% if you negate Council Bluffs.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby iamjacobm » Mon May 25, 2015 7:29 pm

So the entire metro grew by 39K and the city grew by 37,641?? I have a really hard time believing that the entire rest of the metro only added 2000 in that time.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby MTO » Tue May 26, 2015 8:24 am

I believe these are only counting populations within the official city boundaries. Omaha would have lather annexation packages and growth from within.. But proportionately the smaller municipalities grew faster, at least according to these stats.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Stargazer » Sun May 31, 2015 11:34 am

It's interesting, over the years, as you hear people complain about Omaha taxes/etc... you often hear the response, "That's it, I'm moving to Council Bluffs!". Yet, it consistently flounders behind the rest of the metro in growth.

Ralston is a bit of a shocker... is this a result of the apartments (or is this assisted care?) near the arena?

And I believe Papillion entered the top 10.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby RNcyanide » Sun May 31, 2015 12:08 pm

Stargazer wrote:It's interesting, over the years, as you hear people complain about Omaha taxes/etc... you often hear the response, "That's it, I'm moving to Council Bluffs!". Yet, it consistently flounders behind the rest of the metro in growth.

Ralston is a bit of a shocker... is this a result of the apartments (or is this assisted care?) near the arena?

And I believe Papillion entered the top 10.


Apartments. My cousin lives in there. They're not bad, but they are laid out in the most nonsensical way possible.
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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby Omaha Cowboy » Sat Jun 06, 2015 1:07 pm

I know one family with 3 kids who specifically moved to Council Bluffs from Omaha to avoid taxes..

Other than that, I have many friends that were born/raised in CB.. And all of them, with no exceptions, live on the Nebraska side of the Omaha metro.. With most living within Omaha's city limits..

I also have always found this interesting..

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby skinzfan23 » Sat Jun 06, 2015 3:35 pm

I grew up in CB and out of all the people I know who lived there, over 1/2 have moved to the Nebraska side of the river as well.

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Re: 2014 Census estimates this week-

Postby EastCB » Sat Jun 06, 2015 8:19 pm

Ya. I lived in Omaha for ten years and then I moved back to CB. Omaha was sterile . Enjoy it more over here. Now the midtown areas are getting cool but suburban not so! I love the mixed demographics where I am at. I have 600,000 homes, 200,000 homes , 350,000 homes and mine . Old and new. It is an interesting area. And the topography is so cool. It was boring in west Omaha.


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