skinzfan23 wrote: Fri Jun 07, 2024 4:43 pm
My wife and son are headed to camp out near Fremont this evening. Is it looking bad for that area? I know earlier Rusty Lord mentioned that most of the severe stuff may end up further west and south of the metro.
Pretty much what I’ve been seeing too.
It’ll be somewhat close but I “think” the severe risk will stay west of there as storms move in from the northwest into the area. It’ll rain though, that’s pretty much a certainty…
Brad wrote: Fri Jun 07, 2024 10:40 pm
Super cool storm structure out west tonight!
I saw that, I was tempted to go out west and chase today because sculpted/mothership supercells looked like pretty much a certainty but I was lazy. Looked pretty amazing though.
Updated outlooks for later this week. May end up being Wednesday the risk is north of us, and Thursday the risk will end up south of us (with capping in place much of the day). Who knows yet though.
Odds continue to increase that the Omaha area will miss out on the severe weather this week with the threat continuing to look like it'll stay north of us on Wednesday and then end up south of us on Thursday...
stormchaser wrote: Tue Jun 11, 2024 7:13 am
Odds continue to increase that the Omaha area will miss out on the severe weather this week with the threat continuing to look like it'll stay north of us on Wednesday and then end up south of us on Thursday...
It's "possible" that a watch will soon be issued for areas just barely north of Omaha (although it's unlikely - only a 40% chance). A mesoscale discussion has been issued discussing the possibility and area being considered. That can be found here: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1239.html.
The cap is slightly weaker in this area (with 700mb temps below 12c as shown on the map below) so storms may fire though the environment is still pretty marginal for severe weather so even if a watch is issued, I wouldn't expect a ton of severe weather down here (the risk should remain to our north).
Also has to be some big hail with that one that has since ballooned up by Blair. Wouldn't be too surprised if the eastern part of Omaha may be clipped by it.
stormchaser wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2024 9:00 pm
It tried north of Bennington but got undercut and the lowering was pretty ragged looking. Still a beast though.
I am looking at the remnants of the lowering here in Dundee now.
Wow, just amazing how in the days leading up, the NWS backed off on us, and ended up seeing one of the most impressive storms I've ever seen go directly over my roof. It barely rained and not much hail at all from my location, so viewing was just amazing. Hearing the hail is pretty bad to the south and east of my location. I just missed it it sounds like.
BRoss wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2024 10:20 pm
A lot of crazy photos on Reddit right now. Looks like a mothership.
Yep, that was the mesocyclone. This thing was relatively close to producing a tornado a few times. Like I showed in my video, I “may” have seen a weak tornado but it’s tough to say for sure.
BRoss wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2024 10:20 pm
A lot of crazy photos on Reddit right now. Looks like a mothership.
Yep, that was the mesocyclone. This thing was relatively close to producing a tornado a few times. Like I showed in my video, I “may” have seen a weak tornado but it’s tough to say for sure.
I actually did see a small rope funnel from my backyard. It was amazing just how opposite the clouds were moving, and I'd have to say, this is easily the most impressive supercell I've seen go directly over my roof. I was looking up into the mesocyclone. I didn't have my phone with me, but it was quite a good show. I saw everything with none of the rain, hail, or wind. Everything I'm hearing, the bulk of the hail swath might have just been less than a mile or so east of me.
It had cues of the hail storm that came through in 2017. Same size hail, same general areas affected, and also came from the north.
After having a bit of time to review things (on a bigger screen especially), I'm fairly certain what I saw north of Omaha was a weak tornado and not a gustnado/outflow feature. There does appear to be some rotation aloft and a visible funnel at times (like you can see in the image below).
BRoss wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2024 10:20 pm
A lot of crazy photos on Reddit right now. Looks like a mothership.
Yep, that was the mesocyclone. This thing was relatively close to producing a tornado a few times. Like I showed in my video, I “may” have seen a weak tornado but it’s tough to say for sure.
I actually did see a small rope funnel from my backyard. It was amazing just how opposite the clouds were moving, and I'd have to say, this is easily the most impressive supercell I've seen go directly over my roof. I was looking up into the mesocyclone. I didn't have my phone with me, but it was quite a good show. I saw everything with none of the rain, hail, or wind. Everything I'm hearing, the bulk of the hail swath might have just been less than a mile or so east of me.
It had cues of the hail storm that came through in 2017. Same size hail, same general areas affected, and also came from the north.
As I headed west on Pacific St. From the Elmwood Park/ Aksarben area about 8:45 I caught both a beautiful sunset and absolutely fascinating looking clouds, some pinkish orange colored from the low angle of the sun. But to the north I saw a roundish low hanging dark cloud that almost made me pull over to snap some photos. I wish I had as it was “behind” (to the north of) the tower crane for the new library. The tower was glowing bright yellow as it caught the rays of the setting sun. It was a gorgeous contrast.
Twenty minutes later our neighborhood (Sunset Hills) was very briefly but intensely showered upon, with the rain going from completely dry to deluge within not more than 10 seconds. We had brief wind gusts around 40 mph after the rain stopped.
Summer storms can be awesome to experience, and many if not most of our biggest ones this time of year come straight out of the north.
stormchaser wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2024 6:59 pm
Between baseball and softball size hail reported on the storm just south of Sioux City. Glad it’s up there.
I almost was in the middle of this yesterday as I neared Sioux City on my trip from Tampa to Sioux Falls. I saw the clouds off to the west and then I watched the temps around my car go from 91° to 74°. Then I had a nice piece of hail hit my windshield and I sped up and out ran it going north and watched the temp climb back up to 90°. , Glad I wasn’t a few minutes later….or a couple hours later coming through Omaha .
stormchaser wrote: Wed Jun 12, 2024 6:59 pm
Between baseball and softball size hail reported on the storm just south of Sioux City. Glad it’s up there.
I almost was in the middle of this yesterday as I neared Sioux City on my trip from Tampa to Sioux Falls. I saw the clouds off to the west and then I watched the temps around my car go from 91° to 74°. Then I had a nice piece of hail hit my windshield and I sped up and out ran it going north and watched the temp climb back up to 90°. , Glad I wasn’t a few minutes later….or a couple hours later coming through Omaha .
Sounds like you crossed over the outflow boundary which is why you saw such a sharp drop in temp (so you were obviously extremely close to the precip core - well, in it briefly with that big chunk of hail anyway). Then you crossed back over the outflow boundary as you escaped. Glad it wasn't worse for you .
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