Well, the US Census never makes this easy, in fact, it seems more difficult every year..
But the Omaha metro had solid growth from 1,001,010 in 2024 to 1,009,836 in 2025. The CSA, which includes Dodge county, is now 1,047,893..
Component breakdown-
Douglas- 606,460
Sarpy- 208,303
Pottawattamie (IA)- 92,996
Cass- 27,657
Saunders- 23,702
Washington- 21,302
Mills (IA)- 14,793
Harrison (IA)- 14,623
Dodge (addition for CSA)- 38,057..
More info as it comes, but this is what I’ve come up with so far…
Ciao..LiO…Peace
Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
-
Omaha Cowboy
- The Don
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- Location: West Omaha
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Omaha Cowboy
- The Don
- Posts: 1013711
- Joined: Wed Jan 07, 2004 5:31 am
- Location: West Omaha
Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Grow Omaha has a very detailed and comprehensive look at the Omaha metro numbers and populations/growth of surrounding metros-
“ Here’s how the Omaha metro area’s population and growth rate compare to other regional metros with populations of at least 350,000. The list below is ranked by rate of population growth:
Des Moines = 758,539 (1.03%)
Omaha = 1,009,836 (.96%)
Oklahoma City = 1,512,813 (.92%)
Lincoln = 352,081 (.82%)
Minneapolis = 3,790,295 (.78%)
Kansas City = 2,270,682 (.77%)
Tulsa = 1,069,273 (.77%)
Wichita = 663,809 (.65%)
Colorado Springs = 781,796 (.6%)
Denver = 3,092,037 (.36%)”..
The complete story link-
https://growomaha.com/omaha-grows-by-ne ... reau-data/
Ciao..LiO…Peace
“ Here’s how the Omaha metro area’s population and growth rate compare to other regional metros with populations of at least 350,000. The list below is ranked by rate of population growth:
Des Moines = 758,539 (1.03%)
Omaha = 1,009,836 (.96%)
Oklahoma City = 1,512,813 (.92%)
Lincoln = 352,081 (.82%)
Minneapolis = 3,790,295 (.78%)
Kansas City = 2,270,682 (.77%)
Tulsa = 1,069,273 (.77%)
Wichita = 663,809 (.65%)
Colorado Springs = 781,796 (.6%)
Denver = 3,092,037 (.36%)”..
The complete story link-
https://growomaha.com/omaha-grows-by-ne ... reau-data/
Ciao..LiO…Peace
Go Cowboys!
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Omaha and Lincoln growth versus the rest of the state, including the total size versus the state
Now for the state's CSAs
Code: Select all
Area 2020 Pop 2025 Est Growth 2020% 2025% Growth%
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Omaha-CB (NE Part) 844,873 887,424 +42,551 43.1% 44.0% 75.9%
Douglas 584,527 606,460 +21,933 29.8% 30.1% 39.1%
Sarpy 190,607 208,303 +17,696 9.7% 10.3% 31.6%
Cass 26,601 27,657 +1,056 1.4% 1.4% 1.9%
Saunders 22,271 23,702 +1,431 1.1% 1.2% 2.6%
Washington 20,867 21,302 +435 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%
Lincoln MSA 340,229 352,081 +11,852 17.3% 17.4% 21.2%
Lancaster 322,617 334,049 +11,432 16.4% 16.6% 20.4%
Seward 17,612 18,032 +420 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
Combined Omaha/Lincoln 1,185,102 1,239,505 +54,403 60.4% 61.4% 97.1%
Total Nebraska 1,961,980 2,018,006 +56,026 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Code: Select all
Area 2020 Pop 2025 Est Growth 2020% 2025% Growth%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Omaha-CB-Fremont CSA (NE) 882,032 925,481 +43,449 45.0% 45.9% 77.6%
Douglas 584,527 606,460 +21,933 29.8% 30.1% 39.1%
Sarpy 190,607 208,303 +17,696 9.7% 10.3% 31.6%
Cass 26,601 27,657 +1,056 1.4% 1.4% 1.9%
Saunders 22,271 23,702 +1,431 1.1% 1.2% 2.6%
Washington 20,867 21,302 +435 1.1% 1.1% 0.8%
Dodge 37,159 38,057 +898 1.9% 1.9% 1.6%
Lincoln-Beatrice CSA 361,938 373,792 +11,854 18.4% 18.5% 21.2%
Lancaster 322,617 334,049 +11,432 16.4% 16.6% 20.4%
Seward 17,612 18,032 +420 0.9% 0.9% 0.7%
Gage 21,709 21,711 +2 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Combined CSAs 1,243,970 1,299,273 +55,303 63.4% 64.4% 98.7%
Total Nebraska 1,961,980 2,018,006 +56,026 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last edited by Erik on Fri Mar 27, 2026 11:59 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
X
Last edited by Erik on Fri Mar 27, 2026 11:47 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Nebraska-side Micropolitan Counties
Code: Select all
Area 2020 Pop 2025 Est perc state Growth 2020% 2025% Growth%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Beatrice (Gage) 21,709 21,711 +2 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Columbus (Platte) 34,311 35,649 +1,338 1.7% 1.8% 2.4%
Fremont (Dodge) 37,159 38,057 +898 1.9% 1.9% 1.6%
Hastings (Adams) 31,198 31,071 -127 1.6% 1.5% -0.2%
Kearney (Buffalo) 50,082 51,172 +1,090 2.6% 2.5% 1.9%
Lexington (Dawson/Gosper) 26,000 26,255 +255 1.3% 1.3% 0.5%
McCook (Red Willow) 10,700 10,307 -393 0.5% 0.5% -0.7%
Norfolk (Mad/Pier/Stan) 48,747 49,228 +481 2.5% 2.4% 0.9%
North Platte (Lin/Log/McP) 35,790 34,341 -1,449 1.8% 1.7% -2.6%
Scottsbluff (SB/Ban/Sio) 37,900 37,460 -440 1.9% 1.9% -0.8%
York (York) 14,119 14,564 +445 0.7% 0.7% 0.8%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
All Micropolitans 347,715 349,815 +2,100 17.7% 17.3% 3.7%
Total Nebraska 1,961,980 2,018,006 +56,026 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
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Erik
- Parks & Recreation
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Breakdown
Code: Select all
Category 2020 Pop 2025 Est Growth 20% Sh 25% Sh Gr% St
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Metropolitan (13 Co.) 1,298,742 1,354,548 +55,806 66.2% 67.1% 99.6%
Micropolitan (18 Co.) 347,715 349,815 +2,100 17.7% 17.3% 3.7%
Rural (62 Co.) 315,523 313,643 -1,880 16.1% 15.5% -3.4%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Nebraska 1,961,980 2,018,006 +56,026 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
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Nebraska>Iowa
- Home Owners Association
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
I know there's a reason, but why isn't Dodge County part of the metro area at this point? They seem incredibly intertwined with Elkhorn, Omaha, etc.Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2026 11:14 am Well, the US Census never makes this easy, in fact, it seems more difficult every year..
But the Omaha metro had solid growth from 1,001,010 in 2024 to 1,009,836 in 2025. The CSA, which includes Dodge county, is now 1,047,893..
Component breakdown-
Douglas- 606,460
Sarpy- 208,303
Pottawattamie (IA)- 92,996
Cass- 27,657
Saunders- 23,702
Washington- 21,302
Mills (IA)- 14,793
Harrison (IA)- 14,623
Dodge (addition for CSA)- 38,057..
More info as it comes, but this is what I’ve come up with so far…
Ciao..LiO…Peace
I realize much of this is connected to commuting numbers, but I find it hard to believe Dodge County residents aren't commuting to Douglas County in significant numbers.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Dodge is incredibly close to becoming a part of the MSA. As of the covid-impacted, latest 2016-2020 commuter flow data shows about 17% of Dodge County commuted to the three Omaha core counties.Nebraska>Iowa wrote: Sat Mar 28, 2026 8:45 amI know there's a reason, but why isn't Dodge County part of the metro area at this point? They seem incredibly intertwined with Elkhorn, Omaha, etc.Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2026 11:14 am Well, the US Census never makes this easy, in fact, it seems more difficult every year..
But the Omaha metro had solid growth from 1,001,010 in 2024 to 1,009,836 in 2025. The CSA, which includes Dodge county, is now 1,047,893..
Component breakdown-
Douglas- 606,460
Sarpy- 208,303
Pottawattamie (IA)- 92,996
Cass- 27,657
Saunders- 23,702
Washington- 21,302
Mills (IA)- 14,793
Harrison (IA)- 14,623
Dodge (addition for CSA)- 38,057..
More info as it comes, but this is what I’ve come up with so far…
Ciao..LiO…Peace
I realize much of this is connected to commuting numbers, but I find it hard to believe Dodge County residents aren't commuting to Douglas County in significant numbers.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Largest regional cities, that is most like us. If you put a heavy emphasis on business, economy, education etc then Oklahoma doesn't really belong.
I broke up the region into tiers: Anchor (4) - Slow to Moderately Growing, Historical and still current Anchors Transitional (1) Large (5) - Mostly Fast Growing, semi-anchors Transitional (1) Mid-sized (12) - Mostly Fast to Rapidly growing, Emerging City region Transitional (2) Small (18) - Mostly slow growing, stagnant, or declining established centers Fledgling (8) - Struggling and very minor I placed a "T" next to the Rank where I flag MSAs in transition.For readability reasons, I expanded from just Above and Below to this key:
Hyper (3) is 1.00+ GT Reg For the few notables Rapid (5) is +.54 to +.99 GT reg growth rate Accel (6) is +.27 to +.53 GT reg growth rate Above (5) is +.10 to +.26 GT reg growth rate Average (7) is -.09 to +.09 reg growth rate Below (9) is -.10 to -.26 LT reg growth rate Slow (8) is -.27 to -.53 LT reg growth rate Decline (5) is -.54 to -.81 is an actual decline Cntrctn (3) Worse than -.81 A few Notable MSAs in Contraction
| Rank | Metropolitan/Micropolitan Area | State | Pop_2025 (Est) | Annual Growth | vs. Regional Avg | | :--- | :------------------------------------ | :---: | :------------: | :-----------: | :--------------: | | 1 | Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington | MN-WI | 3,790,295 | 0.78% | Above (+0.24) | | 2 | Denver-Aurora-Lakewood | CO | 3,092,037 | 0.36% | Below (-0.18) | | 3 | St. Louis | MO-IL | 2,785,000 | 0.15% | Slow (-0.39) | | 4 | Kansas City | MO-KS | 2,270,682 | 0.77% | Above (+0.23) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 5 T | Oklahoma City | OK | 1,512,813 | 0.92% | Accel (+0.38) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 6 | Tulsa | OK | 1,069,273 | 0.77% | Above (+0.23) | | 7 | **Omaha-Council Bluffs** | NE-IA | **1,009,836** | **0.96%** | **Accel (+0.42)**| | 8 | Colorado Springs | CO | 781,796 | 0.60% | Average (+0.06) | | 9 | Des Moines-West Des Moines | IA | 758,539 | 1.03% | Accel (+0.49) | | 10 | Wichita | KS | 663,809 | 0.65% | Above (+0.11) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 11 T | Springfield | MO | 492,000 | 0.85% | Accel (+0.31) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 12 | Fort Collins | CO | 381,000 | 1.10% | Rapid (+0.56) | | 13 | Davenport-Moline-Rock Island | IA-IL | 378,000 | -0.10% | Decline (-0.64) | | 14 | Greeley | CO | 362,400 | 1.90% | Hyper (+1.36) | | 15 | **Lincoln** | NE | **352,081** | **0.82%** | **Accel (+0.28)**| | 16 | Boulder | CO | 342,000 | 0.40% | Below (-0.14) | | 17 | Sioux Falls | SD | 314,845 | 1.83% | Hyper (+1.29) | | 18 | Duluth | MN | 292,000 | 0.20% | Slow (-0.34) | | 19 | Cedar Rapids | IA | 281,000 | 0.45% | Average (-0.09) | | 20 | Fargo | ND-MN | 272,310 | 1.57% | Hyper (+1.03) | | 21 | Topeka | KS | 233,052 | 0.11% | Slow (-0.43) | | 22 | Rochester | MN | 230,400 | 0.85% | Accel (+0.31) | | 23 | Columbia | MO | 220,000 | 1.15% | Rapid (+0.61) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 24 T | St. Cloud | MN | 205,000 | 0.50% | Average (-0.04) | | 25 T | Iowa City | IA | 182,000 | 1.20% | Rapid (+0.66) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 26 | Pueblo | CO | 172,000 | 0.30% | Below (-0.24) | | 27 | Waterloo-Cedar Falls | IA | 170,000 | -0.15% | Decline (-0.69) | | 28 | Sioux City | IA-NE-SD | 169,800 | -0.20% | Decline (-0.74) | | 29 | Joplin | MO | 165,000 | 0.35% | Below (-0.19) | | 30 | Grand Junction | CO | 163,000 | 0.80% | Above (+0.26) | | 31 | Rapid City | SD | 162,150 | 1.26% | Rapid (+0.72) | | 32 | Jefferson City | MO | 152,000 | 0.25% | Slow (-0.29) | | 33 | Bismarck | ND | 138,540 | 1.12% | Rapid (+0.58) | | 34 | Lawton | OK | 126,000 | -0.30% | Cntrctn (-0.84) | | 35 | St. Joseph | MO-KS | 122,000 | -0.40% | Cntrctn (-0.94) | | 36 | Lawrence | KS | 122,000 | 0.40% | Below (-0.14) | | 37 | Mankato | MN | 105,000 | 0.40% | Below (-0.14) | | 38 | Grand Forks | ND-MN | 104,000 | 0.35% | Below (-0.19) | | 39 | Cheyenne | WY | 102,104 | 0.54% | Average ( 0.00) | | 40 | Cape Girardeau | MO-IL | 100,000 | 0.20% | Slow (-0.34) | | 41 | Ames | IA | 98,000 | 0.50% | Average (-0.04) | | 42 | Dubuque | IA | 97,000 | 0.10% | Slow (-0.44) | | 43 | Manhattan | KS | 95,000 | 0.20% | Slow (-0.34) | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | 44 | Casper | WY | 81,420 | 0.38% | Below (-0.16) | | 45 | Stillwater | OK | 79,000 | 0.60% | Average (+0.06) | | 46 | Grand Island | NE | 78,076 | -0.30% | Cntrctn (-0.84) | | 47 | Minot | ND | 76,000 | 0.15% | Slow (-0.39) | | 48 | Enid | OK | 59,500 | -0.20% | Decline (-0.74) | | 49 | Kearney | NE | 57,962 | 0.40% | Below (-0.14) | | 50 | Mason City | IA | 50,000 | -0.10% | Decline (-0.64) | | 51 | Norfolk | NE | 49,228 | 0.60% | Average (+0.06) | | --- | --- | --- | ------------ | ----------- | -------------- | | *AVG*| **Regional Average** **0.54%** | **Benchmark** |
Last edited by Erik on Sun Mar 29, 2026 4:19 am, edited 6 times in total.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
For those interested, this is how much each area was underestimated by the last three census
| Census | Area | Apr 1st Est | Official Ct | Numeric Diff | % Error | | :----- | :------------------ | :---------: | :---------: | :----------: | :-----: | | 2000 | **Omaha MSA** | 751,400 | 767,820 | +16,420 | +2.14% | | 2000 | **Lincoln MSA** | 242,125 | 250,237 | +8,112 | +3.24% | | 2000 | **NE STATE** | 1,666,028 | 1,711,263 | +45,235 | +2.71% | | ------ | ------------------- | ----------- | ----------- | ------------ | ------- | | 2010 | **Omaha MSA** | 856,963 | 865,270 | +8,307 | +0.97% | | 2010 | **Lincoln MSA** | 299,488 | 301,731 | +2,243 | +0.75% | | 2010 | **NE STATE** | 1,807,012 | 1,826,341 | +19,329 | +1.07% | | ------ | ------------------- | ----------- | ----------- | ------------ | ------- | | 2020 | **Omaha MSA** | 953,263 | 967,604 | +14,341 | +1.50% | | 2020 | **Lincoln MSA** | 337,423 | 340,217 | +2,794 | +0.83% | | 2020 | **NE STATE** | 1,937,258 | 1,961,504 | +24,246 | +1.25% | | ------ | ------------------- | ----------- | ----------- | ------------ | ------- | | **AVG**| **Metro Average** | --- | --- | +17,406 | +1.57% | | **AVG**| **State Average** | --- | --- | +29,603 | +1.68% |
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Omaha Cowboy
- The Don
- Posts: 1013711
- Joined: Wed Jan 07, 2004 5:31 am
- Location: West Omaha
Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
It’s a really good question and as Erik stated, and I agree, it’s an inevitable addition..Might happen as soon as just before the official 2030 Census..Nebraska>Iowa wrote: Sat Mar 28, 2026 8:45 amI know there's a reason, but why isn't Dodge County part of the metro area at this point? They seem incredibly intertwined with Elkhorn, Omaha, etc.Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2026 11:14 am Well, the US Census never makes this easy, in fact, it seems more difficult every year..
But the Omaha metro had solid growth from 1,001,010 in 2024 to 1,009,836 in 2025. The CSA, which includes Dodge county, is now 1,047,893..
Component breakdown-
Douglas- 606,460
Sarpy- 208,303
Pottawattamie (IA)- 92,996
Cass- 27,657
Saunders- 23,702
Washington- 21,302
Mills (IA)- 14,793
Harrison (IA)- 14,623
Dodge (addition for CSA)- 38,057..
More info as it comes, but this is what I’ve come up with so far…
Ciao..LiO…Peace
I realize much of this is connected to commuting numbers, but I find it hard to believe Dodge County residents aren't commuting to Douglas County in significant numbers.
But we’ll see…
Ciao..LiO…Peace
Go Cowboys!
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
A very good indicator of growth is how many new OPPD residential customers there are. I pulled two reports to span close to 15 years, there is a noticeable jump in new customers per year this decade:
Notice how new residential growth was very similar to total growth rate in the 2010s. If this keeps up, I feel like we will break 1.1 million by 2030 without adding new counties.
If you start the year of growth from 2010 to 2011 and 2020 to 2021, the growth rate helps 2011-2020 some in the ratio.
Notice how new residential growth was very similar to total growth rate in the 2010s. If this keeps up, I feel like we will break 1.1 million by 2030 without adding new counties.
Year | Residential | New Res. Customers | % Res. Growth -----|-------------|--------------------|-------------- 2010 | 305,671 | -- | -- 2011 | 308,412 | 2,741 | 0.90% 2012 | 308,516 | 104 | 0.03% 2013 | 311,921 | 3,405 | 1.10% 2014 | 315,705 | 3,784 | 1.21% 2015 | 319,501 | 3,796 | 1.20% 2016 | 323,784 | 4,283 | 1.34% 2017 | 328,576 | 4,792 | 1.48% 2018 | 333,567 | 4,991 | 1.52% 2019 | 337,517 | 3,950 | 1.18% 2020 | 342,716 | 5,199 | 1.54% 2021 | 346,503 | 3,787 | 1.10% 2022 | 351,712 | 5,209 | 1.50% 2023 | 357,528 | 5,816 | 1.65% 2024 | 362,919 | 5,391 | 1.51% 2025 | 368,729 | 5,810 | 1.60% -----|-------------|--------------------|-------------- 2010s| -- | 31,846 (Total) | 1.11% (Avg) 2020s| -- | 31,212 (Total) | 1.48% (Avg)
If you start the year of growth from 2010 to 2011 and 2020 to 2021, the growth rate helps 2011-2020 some in the ratio.
[---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | OPPD SERVICE AREA: TOTAL NEW RESIDENTS BY DECADE (VERIFIED) | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | ERA | TOTAL NEW RESIDENTS | SF HOMES (EST) | APARTMENTS (EST) | |-------------------|---------------------|------------------|------------------------| | 2010s (2011-20) | 37,045 | 22,227 | 14,818 | | 2020s (2021-25) | 26,013 | 12,486 | 13,527 | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | ERA DIFFERENCE SUMMARY: | |-------------------|---------------------|------------------|------------------------| | METRIC | 2010s (RECOVERY) | 2020s Apt ratio permits | CHANGE | |-------------------|---------------------|------------------|------------------------| | Annual Velocity | 3,705 / yr | 5,203 / yr | +40.4% Acceleration | | Apartment Speed | 1,482 / yr | 2,705 / yr | +82.5% Acceleration | | SF Home Speed | 2,223 / yr | 2,497 / yr | +12.3% Acceleration | | Apartment Share | 40.0% | 52.0% | +12.0% Market Shift | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | * Data Source: OPPD Annual Reports & Census Bureau Permit Ratios (MSA) | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------]
Last edited by Erik on Tue Mar 31, 2026 6:53 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Same table, but commercial:
Year | Commercial | New Comm. Customers | % Comm. Growth -----|------------|---------------------|--------------- 2010 | 43,061 | -- | -- 2011 | 43,564 | 503 | 1.17% 2012 | 43,589 | 25 | 0.06% 2013 | 44,221 | 632 | 1.45% 2014 | 44,785 | 564 | 1.28% 2015 | 45,104 | 319 | 0.71% 2016 | 45,537 | 433 | 0.96% 2017 | 46,084 | 547 | 1.20% 2018 | 46,589 | 505 | 1.10% 2019 | 46,837 | 248 | 0.53% 2020 | 47,461 | 624 | 1.33% 2021 | 48,780 | 1,319 | 2.78% 2022 | 49,550 | 770 | 1.58% 2023 | 49,782 | 232 | 0.47% 2024 | 50,364 | 582 | 1.17% 2025 | 50,986 | 622 | 1.24% -----|------------|---------------------|--------------- 2010s| -- | 3,776 (Total) | 0.94% (Avg) 2020s| -- | 4,149 (Total) | 1.43% (Avg)
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
We shall see very soon how anti-immigration rhetoric, policing and policies affect 2026-2030
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Omaha versus National in the 2010s and 2020s
*Note: 2020s national figure includes exact EIA reported data through year-end 2024.
.-------------------------------------------------------------------------------. | DECADE COMPARISON: NEW RESIDENTIAL CUSTOMER GROWTH (ALIGNED 2021-2024) | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | PERIOD | OMAHA (OPPD) GROWTH | NATIONAL GROWTH (EIA/CENSUS) | SPREAD | |-------------|-----------------------|------------------------------|------------| | 2011-2020 | 11.59% Total | 8.70% Total | +2.89% Lead| | 2021-2024 | 6.13% Total | 3.82% Total | +2.31% Lead| |-------------|-----------------------|------------------------------|------------| | MOMENTUM (AVG YEARLY %) | |-------------|-----------------------|------------------------------|------------| | 2011-2020 | 1.11% Annual Average | 0.84% Annual Average | ~1.3x Faster| | 2021-2024 | 1.51% Annual Average | 0.95% Annual Average | ~1.6x Faster| '-------------------------------------------------------------------------------'Data Breakdown: 2010s National (9.0%): Derived from the U.S. Census Bureau, which recorded a growth from 116.7 million households in 2010 to 126.8 million in 2020. 2020s National (3.82%): Calculated from EIA (Energy Information Administration) annual reports for 2020 through 2024, showing a total net increase of approximately 5.8 million residential customers across the United States.
*Note: 2020s national figure includes exact EIA reported data through year-end 2024.
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Erik
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
Here is an interesting take. Apartments tend to have a smaller person per unit ratio than SF homes. Even though SF have seen an increase from last decade, multifamily has seen the biggest jump.
I had to use permit issuance for this nuance. Keep in mind that there is usually a 5% to 10% ghost permit ratio that affect multifamily the most.
For reference, Single-Family Family houses have also accelerated to about 1.5x this decade.
I had to use permit issuance for this nuance. Keep in mind that there is usually a 5% to 10% ghost permit ratio that affect multifamily the most.
For reference, Single-Family Family houses have also accelerated to about 1.5x this decade.
[---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | OMAHA METRO: HOUSING PERMIT VELOCITY & TYPE SPLIT (2011-2025 ACTUALS) | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | YEAR | TOTAL PERMITS (GROWTH) | SINGLE-FAMILY (SF) | MULTI-FAMILY (MF) | |--------|------------------------|----------------------|------------------------------| | 2011 | 3,180 | 1,908 | 1,272 | | 2012 | 3,818 | 2,291 | 1,527 | | 2013 | 4,535 | 2,721 | 1,814 | | 2014 | 4,028 | 2,417 | 1,611 | | 2015 | 4,143 | 2,486 | 1,657 | | 2016 | 4,288 | 2,573 | 1,715 | | 2017 | 4,980 | 2,988 | 1,992 | | 2018 | 4,871 | 2,923 | 1,948 | | 2019 | 4,172 | 2,503 | 1,669 | | 2020 | 5,441 | 3,265 | 2,176 | |--------|------------------------|----------------------|------------------------------| | 2021 | 6,098 | 2,927 | 3,171 | | 2022 | 6,216 | 2,984 | 3,232 | | 2023 | 4,603 | 2,209 | 2,394 | | 2024 | 7,054 | 3,386 | 3,668 | | 2025 | 6,528 | 3,133 | 3,395 | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | ERA SUMMARY | TOTAL VOLUME | ANNUAL VELOCITY | HOUSING TYPE MIX | |--------------------|-----------------|-------------------|----------------------------| | 2010s (2011-20) | 43,456 | 4,346 / yr | 60% SF / 40% MF | | 2020s (2021-25) | 30,499 | 6,100 / yr | 48% SF / 52% MF | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------] | Note: SF/MF splits estimated using established regional ratios (60/40 vs 48/52). | | [span_0](start_span)Data Source: OMAH531BPPRIV.xlsx - Annual.csv[span_0](end_span) | [---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------]
Last edited by Erik on Sun Apr 05, 2026 3:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Garrett
- County Board
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- Location: New York City
Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
A large part of that is that household size has shrunk significantly. We’re below replacement fertility rate in the US through a combination of a lot of people just not having kids and those who do having fewer than before
OMA-->CHI-->NYC
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Erik
- Parks & Recreation
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Re: Omaha Metro population estimate (with CSA) for 2025-
I know that household size and the replacement rate continues to shrink slowly over time, this decade included.Garrett wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2026 7:32 pm A large part of that is that household size has shrunk significantly. We’re below replacement fertility rate in the US through a combination of a lot of people just not having kids and those who do having fewer than before
However, I dont know if there's THAT much of a difference from last decade. We are only a few years past the last census.
As I've indicated in my previous posts, the data shows that the increase in apartments indicate the trend of household size shrink continuing (maybe have accelerated). And yet, Omahas acceleration stands out versus peer cities.
Im thinking we can assume that some of the apartment to SF home ratio change is also from a home affordability crisis?