2021 Weather thread-

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sat Mar 27, 2021 1:00 pm

I see the forecast over the next week calls for mostly sunny and dry conditions..

Good to see. We need a break from all this rain. I’ll finally be able to wash/wax my car this weekend

...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

GetUrban · Post by **GetUrban** » Sat Mar 27, 2021 3:10 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Sat Mar 27, 2021 1:00 pm I see the forecast over the next week calls for mostly sunny and dry conditions..

Good to see. We need a break from all this rain. I’ll finally be able to wash/wax my car this weekend ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

It’s been great to catch up on our rainfall deficit, but I agree we need more consecutive days of sun too! I prefer no more than two consecutive days of rain followed by 5 days of sun, with the sun on weekends, if possible.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Sat Mar 27, 2021 3:54 pm

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Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Mar 27, 2021 5:01 pm

There are a couple small rain chances left yet this month, so I'm not quite confident enough to call the rain total for the month. But it looks like we will be close to 8.5" in deficit. Good to take a good bite out of that.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Sun Mar 28, 2021 8:55 pm

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Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Mon Mar 29, 2021 1:25 pm

Forecasters warn of winds, extreme fire danger in Nebraska, Iowa today

As strong winds sweep across the Great Plains on Monday, much of the central U.S. from the Canadian border to northern Texas will be at high risk of fast-moving grass fires.

Additionally, the winds could make travel difficult in open areas. The National Weather Service has included most of Nebraska and Iowa in the area at high risk of difficult-to-control wildfires.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Mar 31, 2021 3:47 am

So it looks good enough to call now. According to my calculations, we are ahead in moisture (both rain and snowfall) by 5.6" in 2021. That is no small chunk bitten out of our deficit we built last year.

Factoring in the deficit we built last year, we are now officially 8.54" behind (2020 + 2021).

In a normal April, we get 3.06" of moisture (2.96" rain, 1" snow), so if we want to stay on track and not dip back into the deficit, prepare for another rainy month. Don't know what the forecasts are saying, but I will keep track.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Mar 31, 2021 5:57 am

The current forecast is sunny and above normal, so enjoy your cake.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Thu Apr 01, 2021 1:42 pm

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Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Thu Apr 01, 2021 1:47 pm

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Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Apr 01, 2021 8:13 pm

Coyote wrote: Thu Apr 01, 2021 1:42 pmimage.jpeg

I’ve been saying the same thing to people. After an absolute lousy period from the last week of January through most of February..when we seemed to get buried in Omaha with multiple snow events, then that massive Artic cold in the middle of February..All the sudden, here comes March and there is a 180 about face- with temps in the 50’s and 60’s and all the snow melted well before St Patrick’s Day..

And, at least to me, for a month that contains 31 days, March flew by...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Apr 03, 2021 10:39 pm

It will be interesting to see the SPC outlook over the next few days. Chance thunderstorms Monday night and Tuesday, then thunderstorms likely Tuesday night.

Even though I technically did already hear one single clap of thunder in Omaha this year, this appears to be our first real good chance in Omaha.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sun Apr 04, 2021 5:34 pm

The thunder chonfidence looks to have gone down quite a bit already. Initial convective outlook looks like a slight risk area to our south in Kansas and a marginal risk just to our south in Nebraska. Omaha not even in it for Tuesday as of now. But looks like we could get a good .5" of rain between now and Friday, with more seasonable temperatures after tomorrow.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 1:48 am

Absolutely perfect weather weekend.. Highs 80-85 and low humidity.. Great for the holiday...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 3:46 am

Too warm for me. The outside temperature didn't get down to like a good temperature until 10pm, and then the indoor air temperature lags by a few degrees for a few hours. Indoor temp got up to 78 in my house today and the outside temperature didn't get below 78 until like 9pm. So it made no sense to open windows until that point. Indoor temp is currently 74, outdoor is 72. Not terrible, but in the winter I like 60, and in warm weather I like 70 tops.

The high was 88 today, BTW.

Did anyone turn on the A/C today?

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 3:53 am

Also looks like there might have been a mistake at the NWS forecast website last time I looked. Looks like thunderstorms for Tuesday are back on.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 5:58 am

Meh..

Perfect weather to me. With the low humidity, it never felt too warm.. Even Bill Randby rated Sunday a beautiful weather day..

In any case, glad to see winter frozen type precipitation completely behind us. On to what I hope, will be a nice calm spring...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 6:00 am

Plus, for the Severe Weather crowd, I see the National Weather Service has just issued the first Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Douglas County for the season-4/5/21, right now...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 8:20 am

Never mind, that was for that small storm northeast of here. Like in extreme northeast Douglas county. Already well on its way out of town by the time it was severe warned. I'm not counting it, personally. I'll wait for the first one in Omaha, or at least a lot closer to Omaha.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 2:03 pm

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Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Mon Apr 05, 2021 4:15 pm

Nice, they moved it North to include Omaha.

GetUrban · Post by **GetUrban** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 1:41 am

We’re starting to really need the rain again with all of this wind drying everything out.

Post by **Brad** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 2:24 am

GetUrban wrote: Tue Apr 06, 2021 1:41 am We’re starting to really need the rain again with all of this wind drying everything out.

Yeah, I could have and should have watered Saturday. I have been hand watering a few areas I repaired last fall, but its about time to fire up the sprinklers for good.

GetUrban · Post by **GetUrban** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:06 pm

The Omadome is back in full force. Storms on radar are fizzleing out before they get here, so far.

Post by **Brad** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:39 pm

Wow, in the latest SPC update, the really pushed things north.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:49 pm

They sure did. I looked at it about an hour ago and it didn't look like that.

So I guess they change it whenever they feel necessary. I always thought that once it came out in the morning, that's how it stayed all day.

Post by **Brad** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:04 pm

Busguy2010 wrote: Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:49 pm They sure did. I looked at it about an hour ago and it didn't look like that.

So I guess they change it whenever they feel necessary. I always thought that once it came out in the morning, that's how it stayed all day.

Looks like they have already issued 3 to day. 1AM, 8AM, and 11AM. I seem to remember a 11 am update most days last year. Looks like they do 5 a day.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:48 pm

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GetUrban · Post by **GetUrban** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:49 pm

There still is hope!

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 6:49 pm

So, I don't really consider a risk until we are put in the Slight Risk category. So today marks the first Slight Risk day of the year.

When I really start getting excited is when we are in the Enhanced Risk.

Anything more than Enhanced and I start to feel a little vulnerable as far as property damage and tornadoes go. We've had some pretty hairy storms under Enhanced Risk. Those Bellevue tornadoes of 6/16/17 were on an Enhanced Risk day.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Tue Apr 06, 2021 7:35 pm

LOL, I'm watching the Weather Channel right now and their future radar even takes into account the OmaDome. We'll see. I don't have a lot of faith that it will be anything all that interesting.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Wed Apr 07, 2021 2:31 am

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Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Apr 07, 2021 3:34 pm

It rained pretty heavily at my house around 11, but NWS only reporting .08" at the airport. So must have been a pop up that I was experiencing. I fell asleep pretty early last night, but it seems to me like not much happened. I didn't hear any thunder at least and I had the window open.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Apr 07, 2021 3:44 pm

Loving this cool air and rain though. Turns out a lot more rain is predicted to fall than was predicted a couple days ago. NWS currently looking to add another 1.42" on top of the .08" we've had. So an even 1.5" on the event. Hope it pulls through. Was looking at the yard yesterday, and even though we are ahead in moisture on the year, there were some big cracks in the ground. 1.5" would be about half of what we need for the month to be a normal April.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Apr 07, 2021 3:58 pm

Also, last freeze is always right around April 14-16th. At least that's what it's consistently been since 2013. Looking at the forecast so far, we may make it there without another freeze, meaning that our last freeze might be April 1st, which is quite early

. It has been quite warm so far and I guess that's what they predicted for the year.

Normally I wait til after April 15th before I plant anything, and I have already planted my cold weather crops a couple weeks ago. They survived that one 20 degree night, but you have to go all the way back to March 21st before you really see consistent lows near or below freezing. Pretty unusual gardening season so far. I suppose that means it will freeze on June 1st this year.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:32 am

Finally heard one clap of thunder around 7 I think. And the rain finally decided to fall.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:45 am

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Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Thu Apr 08, 2021 1:46 am

This came from the East, will likely get some more.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Apr 08, 2021 2:28 am

looking at the radar, it looks like the OmaDome might be occurring again. Storms are to the east though, hopefully they stay together.

On the radar subject, I just have to say I absolutely hate the NWS's new radar product. Its more detailed for sure, but it takes forever to load.

Post by **Brad** » Thu Apr 08, 2021 9:54 pm

Busguy2010 wrote: Thu Apr 08, 2021 2:28 am On the radar subject, I just have to say I absolutely hate the NWS's new radar product. Its more detailed for sure, but it takes forever to load.

It does load super slow, but it has so many more features now. I still use Radar Scope on the phone. Its the best radar going when we get in to Severe Season and you want to look at all the different radar modes as opposed to the traditional mode like Coyote posted above.