Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Omaha area Housing and Market statistics

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Omaha Cowboy »

Erik wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 6:53 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 6:12 pm
Erik wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 4:37 pm How it works is the total percent of work commuters (not population) from one county or core city within a county to any and all counties from another MSA.

Last census had Lincoln at 7.4% and that was talked about rather heavily as to why it wasn't included in the CSA.
Given that dynamic, the 10% number I was told a couple of days back isn’t as far fetched as it seems. I think the definition you’re giving is correct. That gives a glimmer, albeit a slight glimmer of hope for the idea.. I’m still not holding out hope it happens in my lifetime however, lol…

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If these employers keep setting up shop in Sarpy County to attract from both metro areas like they have been, you will see it at some point.

Sarpy County is currently the "central point" for employers (especially Gretna, 370, 144th, I-80 etc) and is advertised as such. A large number of new employment opens along these areas.
We’ll see, that’s for sure- Sarpy is indeed the fastest growing county in the state..

Omaha grew by basically 12% this past decade, adding nearly 103,000 residents. This is very healthy growth.. I have a feeling this decade, Omaha may be poised for even more explosive growth..especially if what is proposed to be built on the western edge of our core within the medical related job arena, Omaha could be adding up to 17,000 professional, medical related jobs within the next 3-7 years..people move where the opportunity takes them. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Omaha grow at 15-17% clip this decade if what is proposed on the horizon, becomes reality..

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Bob from Omaha »

In the end if I was a broker I'd sure let national chains know the numbers.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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Bob from Omaha wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:15 pm In the end if I was a broker I'd sure let national chains know the numbers.
I’ve been thinking the exact same thing since these numbers came out :thumb:

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Louie »

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:14 pm
We’ll see, that’s for sure- Sarpy is indeed the fastest growing county in the state..

Omaha grew by basically 12% this past decade, adding nearly 103,000 residents. This is very healthy growth.. I have a feeling this decade, Omaha may be poised for even more explosive growth..especially if what is proposed to be built on the western edge of our core within the medical related job arena, Omaha could be adding up to 17,000 professional, medical related jobs within the next 3-7 years..people move where the opportunity takes them. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Omaha grow at 15-17% clip this decade if what is proposed on the horizon, becomes reality..

Ciao..LiO…Peace
While even the 17k numbers would be massive, the number of service industry jobs that would come from the 9k professional jobs would be immense as well.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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Louie wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 10:20 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:14 pm
We’ll see, that’s for sure- Sarpy is indeed the fastest growing county in the state..

Omaha grew by basically 12% this past decade, adding nearly 103,000 residents. This is very healthy growth.. I have a feeling this decade, Omaha may be poised for even more explosive growth..especially if what is proposed to be built on the western edge of our core within the medical related job arena, Omaha could be adding up to 17,000 professional, medical related jobs within the next 3-7 years..people move where the opportunity takes them. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Omaha grow at 15-17% clip this decade if what is proposed on the horizon, becomes reality..

Ciao..LiO…Peace
While even the 17k numbers would be massive, the number of service industry jobs that would come from the 9k professional jobs would be immense as well.
Suffice it to say, Omaha is really poised for an extremely robust growth rate this decade if all these proposed projects come to reality..

And I think we’re all on board for that :thumb:

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by ita »

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Tue Aug 17, 2021 1:45 am
Louie wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 10:20 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:14 pm
We’ll see, that’s for sure- Sarpy is indeed the fastest growing county in the state..

Omaha grew by basically 12% this past decade, adding nearly 103,000 residents. This is very healthy growth.. I have a feeling this decade, Omaha may be poised for even more explosive growth..especially if what is proposed to be built on the western edge of our core within the medical related job arena, Omaha could be adding up to 17,000 professional, medical related jobs within the next 3-7 years..people move where the opportunity takes them. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Omaha grow at 15-17% clip this decade if what is proposed on the horizon, becomes reality..

Ciao..LiO…Peace
While even the 17k numbers would be massive, the number of service industry jobs that would come from the 9k professional jobs would be immense as well.
Suffice it to say, Omaha is really poised for an extremely robust growth rate this decade if all these proposed projects come to reality..

And I think we’re all on board for that :thumb:

Ciao..LiO…Peace
We should have a long term guessing competition for the population by 2025 or 2030. I am with you all on this decade's potential to have even more aggressive growth than the last. There are too many good things happening right now, like you all said, that is setting us up for another boom decade. Hopefully, we can continue and accelerate the trend of infill development to help quell sprawl, but there are a few more pieces needed in our infrastructure to really set that up.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by buildomaha »

I’m wondering if Omaha could muster enough clout to be looked at as the next Boise, Austin, Denver, etc!
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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ita wrote: Tue Aug 17, 2021 10:13 am
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Tue Aug 17, 2021 1:45 am
Louie wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 10:20 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 8:14 pm
We’ll see, that’s for sure- Sarpy is indeed the fastest growing county in the state..

Omaha grew by basically 12% this past decade, adding nearly 103,000 residents. This is very healthy growth.. I have a feeling this decade, Omaha may be poised for even more explosive growth..especially if what is proposed to be built on the western edge of our core within the medical related job arena, Omaha could be adding up to 17,000 professional, medical related jobs within the next 3-7 years..people move where the opportunity takes them. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Omaha grow at 15-17% clip this decade if what is proposed on the horizon, becomes reality..

Ciao..LiO…Peace
While even the 17k numbers would be massive, the number of service industry jobs that would come from the 9k professional jobs would be immense as well.
Suffice it to say, Omaha is really poised for an extremely robust growth rate this decade if all these proposed projects come to reality..

And I think we’re all on board for that :thumb:

Ciao..LiO…Peace
We should have a long term guessing competition for the population by 2025 or 2030. I am with you all on this decade's potential to have even more aggressive growth than the last. There are too many good things happening right now, like you all said, that is setting us up for another boom decade. Hopefully, we can continue and accelerate the trend of infill development to help quell sprawl, but there are a few more pieces needed in our infrastructure to really set that up.
I was actually running some growth numbers-

If Omaha grows at the same clip this decade (11.8%) as it did this past decade, we’d add 114,177 people.. making the 2030 MSA population 1,081,781. At 15%, we’s add 145,141 making the 2030 MSA 1,112,745. At 17%, 164,493 making the 2030 MSA 1,132,097..

I’d say if things go as proposed..and most all of these new developments and infrastructure core enhancements continue, Omaha has a very realistic shot at a 15% growth rate for the decade- landing our 2030 MSA at 1,112,745 and the CSA at about 1,150,245…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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buildomaha wrote: Tue Aug 17, 2021 10:49 am I’m wondering if Omaha could muster enough clout to be looked at as the next Boise, Austin, Denver, etc!
Interesting you mention Boise..

Although Omaha is still a significantly larger MSA, Boise ID grew at an astounding 24% clip between 2010 and 2020..

If Omaha grew at a 24% clip for this decade, we’d add 232,225 to our MSA population and land at just under 1.2 million (1,199,829) by 2030..

Fun thing to think about. I don’t think it’s remotely a realistic possibility..but again, it’s fun to crunch these numbers. Like I stated in my previous post, I realistically think a 15% growth rate for the Omaha MSA/CSA is achievable this decade..

We’ll see…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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Omaha had impressive growth this past decade. Omaha and Lincoln together grew by 140,000. That’s two metro’s roughly 50 miles apart gaining 140,000 people. This is significant especially for the Midwest, which has traditionally seen slower growth than the south or west. Omaha grew at a faster rate than many metro’s in or near its peer group, faster than Tulsa, Albuquerque, Tucson, Knoxville, Grand Rapids Michigan and Rochester New York to name a few.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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Omaha’s diversified economy is a large driver for the healthy 12% growth rate the metro saw this past decade..Adding 102,254 residents 2010 to 2020..

As I mentioned in a previous post- if what is proposed for UNMC/Nebraska Medicine in the west core area along Saddle Creek Rd, actually comes to fruition, we’re talking several Billion $$ of development and the addition of 17,000 jobs in this area alone..

I see a realistic possibility of the Omaha metro growing at a 15% rate this decade…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by ByrnesViceVersa »

Omaha compared to the rest of the United States is in a very interesting spot as a city and how it will grow. When the worlds construction projects and future developments were stopped dead by covid and rising prices in goods, Omaha kept on at full steam ahead, and hasn't looked back. I feel like cities that were in our population range are behind us right now, And I say right now because that could all change if we don't keep progressing. Compared to other US cities, Omaha is in a very good spot.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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ByrnesViceVersa wrote: Sun Aug 29, 2021 11:41 pm Compared to other US cities, Omaha is in a very good spot.
Agreed. This is also why our diversified economy works in our favor.. The Omaha metro isn’t tied or built upon one major thing (oil as an example) and therefore doesn’t see the radical swings in local economy like, say, a Tulsa Oklahoma might (and has) see (seen)..

The medical arena, which Omaha is already strong in, is really poised to take off with potential development this decade..and with that, should bring thousands of medical related professionals to the metropolitan area..

Omaha’s time is now…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Garrett »

Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Not bad at all Garrett :thumb: ..

Thank you very much for this intel and research. Awesome stuff!…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Louie »

Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Boy, they picked some very weird colors to display the growth percentages. You'd think they'd stick with shades of green and shades of red so it's easier to tell which districts are growing. With the oranges and the yellows, it's quite confusing.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by skinzfan23 »

Great to see that growth in the downtown core. Hopefully we will continue that trend with the Mercantile on the old Con Agra property and the apts being built in North Downtown.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by ita »

Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Census Tract 5 is kind of surprising to me, but it includes the Capitol District and there have been several apartment projects built in the 2010's around the stadium and North Downtown. That tract still has a lot of potential for infill with the Builder's District, Millwork Commons, and the CHI Center surface parking lots, so that is one to keep track of.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Garrett »

Also realized I did my division wrong and the growth rate was actually 37.7%
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

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ita wrote: Wed Sep 01, 2021 10:35 am
Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Census Tract 5 is kind of surprising to me, but it includes the Capitol District and there have been several apartment projects built in the 2010's around the stadium and North Downtown. That tract still has a lot of potential for infill with the Builder's District, Millwork Commons, and the CHI Center surface parking lots, so that is one to keep track of.
I know I’ve been intimating this on the forum, but with the growth along these downtown core census tracts, I really see us moving toward attracting a full service grocery store.. The numbers don’t lie. I’d have to think the regional and or national level grocers would want a slice of a DT market underserved..

I would be very surprised if we don’t hear of an announcement for one within the next 18 months…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Athomsfere »

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Wed Sep 01, 2021 11:55 am
ita wrote: Wed Sep 01, 2021 10:35 am
Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Census Tract 5 is kind of surprising to me, but it includes the Capitol District and there have been several apartment projects built in the 2010's around the stadium and North Downtown. That tract still has a lot of potential for infill with the Builder's District, Millwork Commons, and the CHI Center surface parking lots, so that is one to keep track of.
I know I’ve been intimating this on the forum, but with the growth along these downtown core census tracts, I really see us moving toward attracting a full service grocery store.. The numbers don’t lie. I’d have to think the regional and or national level grocers would want a slice of a DT market underserved..

I would be very surprised if we don’t hear of an announcement for one within the next 18 months…

Ciao..LiO…Peace
Yes, I have mixed feelings here. I live downtown and do some shopping at Wohlner's, or the Supermercado; but the big grocery trips I go 78th and Cass.

I'd hate to take business from Wohlner's, but I'd love to not go out west for a lot of groceries. Of course, half our groceries come from the Asian Market, so I'll likely keep going out west at least twice a month.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by ita »

Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
To follow up on this (thanks for posting this by the way), I am kind of surprised that Census Tracts 39 and 42 both lost 15%. I know there has been a lot of redevelopment in those census tracts between Urban Village Apartments through the Park Avenue Neighborhood, Blackstone District's second life, and lots of infill Midtown townhomes. Did the Census get these areas wrong, or am I just tripping?
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Garrett »

ita wrote: Thu Sep 02, 2021 3:53 pm
Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
To follow up on this (thanks for posting this by the way), I am kind of surprised that Census Tracts 39 and 42 both lost 15%. I know there has been a lot of redevelopment in those census tracts between Urban Village Apartments through the Park Avenue Neighborhood, Blackstone District's second life, and lots of infill Midtown townhomes. Did the Census get these areas wrong, or am I just tripping?
If I had to bet, I would say a lot of that is gentrification related. More wealthy single people, fewer poor big families. Take Census Tract 39: Lost almost 500 people, but actually has about the same number of occupied housing units. The hispanic population component plummeted, from 60% of the population to 49%. You'll also notice that the over 18 population only dropped by 11.5 % compared to the drop of the total population of 16.8%. It's basically the same story with tract 42. A lot of the redevelopment we've seen hasn't necessarily been of vacant housing or empty lots, but housing for poorer families.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Omaha Cowboy »

Athomsfere wrote: Thu Sep 02, 2021 1:56 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Wed Sep 01, 2021 11:55 am
ita wrote: Wed Sep 01, 2021 10:35 am
Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Census Tract 5 is kind of surprising to me, but it includes the Capitol District and there have been several apartment projects built in the 2010's around the stadium and North Downtown. That tract still has a lot of potential for infill with the Builder's District, Millwork Commons, and the CHI Center surface parking lots, so that is one to keep track of.
I know I’ve been intimating this on the forum, but with the growth along these downtown core census tracts, I really see us moving toward attracting a full service grocery store.. The numbers don’t lie. I’d have to think the regional and or national level grocers would want a slice of a DT market underserved..

I would be very surprised if we don’t hear of an announcement for one within the next 18 months…

Ciao..LiO…Peace
Yes, I have mixed feelings here. I live downtown and do some shopping at Wohlner's, or the Supermercado; but the big grocery trips I go 78th and Cass.

I'd hate to take business from Wohlner's, but I'd love to not go out west for a lot of groceries. Of course, half our groceries come from the Asian Market, so I'll likely keep going out west at least twice a month.
I think the happenstance is likely inevitable..Especially once we near completion of the final Phase of the Riverfront Redevelopment Plan..and all the proposed developments that should happen because of it. The goal is to continue to drive more folks to move downtown- by creating a walkable, lively 24/7 downtown and have all the amenity trappings because of it..

One of those amenities should be a full service grocery store..if not located within the traditional central business district, then likely in the North Downtown area.. I think a Wohlner’s and a full service downtown grocer would co exist pretty well at this point..even better 2-3 years from now as the downtown population continues to grow…

Ciao..LiO…Peace
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Louie »

Garrett wrote: Thu Sep 02, 2021 4:01 pm
ita wrote: Thu Sep 02, 2021 3:53 pm
Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
To follow up on this (thanks for posting this by the way), I am kind of surprised that Census Tracts 39 and 42 both lost 15%. I know there has been a lot of redevelopment in those census tracts between Urban Village Apartments through the Park Avenue Neighborhood, Blackstone District's second life, and lots of infill Midtown townhomes. Did the Census get these areas wrong, or am I just tripping?
If I had to bet, I would say a lot of that is gentrification related. More wealthy single people, fewer poor big families. Take Census Tract 39: Lost almost 500 people, but actually has about the same number of occupied housing units. The hispanic population component plummeted, from 60% of the population to 49%. You'll also notice that the over 18 population only dropped by 11.5 % compared to the drop of the total population of 16.8%. It's basically the same story with tract 42. A lot of the redevelopment we've seen hasn't necessarily been of vacant housing or empty lots, but housing for poorer families.
I would bet over time this population comes back with the density (and quality) of housing slowly coming back. Benson is showing lower to negative growth as well and probably for similar reasons.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by ita »

Louie wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 8:35 am
Garrett wrote: Thu Sep 02, 2021 4:01 pm
ita wrote: Thu Sep 02, 2021 3:53 pm
Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
To follow up on this (thanks for posting this by the way), I am kind of surprised that Census Tracts 39 and 42 both lost 15%. I know there has been a lot of redevelopment in those census tracts between Urban Village Apartments through the Park Avenue Neighborhood, Blackstone District's second life, and lots of infill Midtown townhomes. Did the Census get these areas wrong, or am I just tripping?
If I had to bet, I would say a lot of that is gentrification related. More wealthy single people, fewer poor big families. Take Census Tract 39: Lost almost 500 people, but actually has about the same number of occupied housing units. The hispanic population component plummeted, from 60% of the population to 49%. You'll also notice that the over 18 population only dropped by 11.5 % compared to the drop of the total population of 16.8%. It's basically the same story with tract 42. A lot of the redevelopment we've seen hasn't necessarily been of vacant housing or empty lots, but housing for poorer families.
I would bet over time this population comes back with the density (and quality) of housing slowly coming back. Benson is showing lower to negative growth as well and probably for similar reasons.
There is a lot of interesting things going on. I was semi-expecting negative population growth in North Omaha, but several grew, being bolstered by Hispanic and Asian population swells. Also, it's clear some areas are hindered by housing stock, or lack thereof. I think that's most apparent in South Omaha. Anyway, really interesting data and I am glad there is this easy to navigate data visualization.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Omaha Cowboy »

All persons of color saw growth in the Omaha area from 2010-2020- City, MSA and CSA..

The biggest changes, are people of color live and are seen all over the metropolitan area, not necessarily concentrated in one area quite as much anymore..which I think is wonderful to see…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Erik »

Holy mother of god.. those urban infill numbers are astounding. Especially downtown, I had no idea the boom was so explosive.

With the exception of a few tracks, most of the city grew
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Omaha Cowboy »

Erik wrote: Sun Sep 05, 2021 5:51 pm Holy mother of god.. those urban infill numbers are astounding. Especially downtown, I had no idea the boom was so explosive.

With the exception of a few tracks, most of the city grew
Agreed..

Omaha’s urban infill growth has been impressive..

Omaha is really striking the right balance between urban infill and suburban growth..reversing the “westward only ho” we saw in the 1970’s all the way to 2000..

This balance will only continue imo..I believe this will be a banner decade (the 2020’s) for growth in Omaha proper and the metropolitan area…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by nativeomahan »

Garrett wrote: Tue Aug 31, 2021 6:07 pm Finally found a bit more granular data on the census tract level.

https://data.elpasotimes.com/census/tot ... 055001800/

If you scroll down you can see a map of the data. The core of downtown, tract 18, which goes from the river to 20th between Dodge and Pacific, grew 31% from 3,970 to 5,209. Tract 16, around Creighton, grew 47.5% from 2,577 to 3,800. Tract 19, which is 20th to 24th, grew 60% from 1,178 to 1,888. Tract 5, which is mostly the core of North Downtown but also swings around Carter Lake to include the airport, grew to 46.5% from 2,328 to 3,411. Finally, tract 40, which is western downtown as well as Midtown Crossing, grew 20.8% from 2,731 to 3,299. Overall, these 5 census tracts, which more or less form the urban core of Omaha, grew from 12,784 to 17,607, for a decade growth of 27.4%. Not bad at all.
Thanks for pointing this out. Vibrant cities require a vibrant heart. Omaha seems finally going in the right direction. My heart still aches for all of the missteps in the 1980s that set the city back, in some ways permanently.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by nativeomahan »

Wow. I looked through the census tracts to find mine. Over 90% white. Fewer blacks and Asians than 10 years go. Fewer whites, too. But over 5 times more people of mixed racial heritage.
I was somewhat surprised at those numbers, as our neighbors on one side are Pacific Islanders and on the other side one hails from the Caribbean. And while walking the dog today I heard Spanish spoken by everyone I passed in the first 15 minutes of my walk.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by nativeomahan »

A sure sign of growth…Metro Omaha is closing in on 50 Starbucks locations.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Omaha Cowboy »

nativeomahan wrote: Wed Sep 08, 2021 4:04 pm A sure sign of growth…Metro Omaha is closing in on 50 Starbucks locations.
Starbucks has been really aggressive the past 24 months opening up locations all over metropolitan Omaha..Especially in parts of the metro that were clearly “underserved” without one.. Somebody at the corporate level about 2-3 years back, probably took an actual close look at their Omaha business portfolio…

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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by ita »

MAPA released a nice easy to read summary of some demographic and population changes throughout it's served region: https://mapacog.org/wp-content/uploads/ ... andout.pdf
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Louie »

ita wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 12:05 pm MAPA released a nice easy to read summary of some demographic and population changes throughout it's served region: https://mapacog.org/wp-content/uploads/ ... andout.pdf
This is awesome and really shows the role that proximity to Omaha is playing in the surrounding counties. Cities closer to Douglas and Sarpy respective to their country brethren are growing at a much higher pace overall.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by skinzfan23 »

That is a nice chart breaking out all the cities and towns within the metro.

I find it hard to believe that Springfield lost people, unless all the new housing isn't included in the city.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Louie »

skinzfan23 wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:09 pm That is a nice chart breaking out all the cities and towns within the metro.

I find it hard to believe that Springfield lost people, unless all the new housing isn't included in the city.
Agreed, though wasn't there a big hubbub between La Vista, Papillion, and Springfield around city limits?
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Brad »

Louie wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:32 pm
skinzfan23 wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:09 pm That is a nice chart breaking out all the cities and towns within the metro.

I find it hard to believe that Springfield lost people, unless all the new housing isn't included in the city.
Agreed, though wasn't there a big hubbub between La Vista, Papillion, and Springfield around city limits?
Doesn't appear to be in the city yet:
springfield.JPG
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Garrett »

I don’t think Springfield itself has done much annexation, they were more upset at the loss of potential future annexation

Also interesting to see Valley growing quick to hit 3,000. They could very well end up in annexation sites before too long at that clip.
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Re: Official- 2020 Omaha CSA 1 million+

Post by Louie »

Brad wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:33 pm
Louie wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:32 pm
skinzfan23 wrote: Wed Sep 15, 2021 1:09 pm
Doesn't appear to be in the city yet:
springfield.JPG
That seems odd that they haven't moved on that even though the subdivisions have been there for quite some time.