It’s that time of year again- 2019 Metro/CSA estimates coming 03/26/20-

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 12, 2020 8:55 pm

One of my favorite discussions of the year. Just announced-

The 2019 US Census Metro/CSA estimates will be released to the public 2 weeks from today on March 26th..

To refresh everyone’s memory, the 2018 Omaha MSA and CSA estimates were 942,000 and 980,000 respectively..

My prediction for the 2019 estimates for Omaha-

953,000 MSA
991,000 CSA..

Inching extremely close to the 1 million mark..

Get your predictions in now. What say you?...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Louie · Post by **Louie** » Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:51 am

MSA - 951,000
CSA - 993,000

ita · Post by **ita** » Fri Mar 13, 2020 10:54 am

MSA - 949,000
CSA - 987,000

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Fri Mar 13, 2020 1:01 pm

I forgot to mention-

The winner of this years MSA/CSA prediction (Whomever gets closest), gets a craft beer (or adult beverage) of choice courtesy of yours truly

...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

TitosBuritoBarn · Post by **TitosBuritoBarn** » Fri Mar 13, 2020 4:38 pm

952,000
984.000

Hawkeye · Post by **Hawkeye** » Sat Mar 14, 2020 3:19 pm

MSA - 966,018
CSA - 994,320

Book it

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sat Mar 14, 2020 7:33 pm

Hawkeye wrote: Sat Mar 14, 2020 3:19 pm MSA - 966,018
CSA - 994,320

Book it

You know those are numbers I like!..

Thanks to everyone for your predictions thus far. Keep ‘em coming

...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Hawkeye · Post by **Hawkeye** » Sun Mar 15, 2020 7:07 am

Oh, and just for the record, the above prediction is predicated on the assumption that the COVIDS doesn't kill off half the population. Thought that caveat needed to be mentioned.

mgoett · Post by **mgoett** » Sun Mar 15, 2020 9:39 am

I say 950,000 metro and 1,000,000 csa

Doctor Fate · Post by **Doctor Fate** » Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:02 am

Metro 955,000
CSA 990,000

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Sun Mar 15, 2020 11:59 am

MSA 951,804
CSA 989,941

guy4omaha · Post by **guy4omaha** » Sun Mar 15, 2020 2:53 pm

MSA: 951,805
CSA: 989,226

If the Carnivorus thing goes T-Rex on us:
MSA: 951,305
CSA: 988,714

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sun Mar 15, 2020 3:19 pm

Thus far, I think everyone’s predictions are quite close to the numbers we’ll end up seeing..

This will be a tight one to determine the winner

..

Thanks to all for your participation. Keep those predictions coming!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

guy4omaha · Post by **guy4omaha** » Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:21 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Sun Mar 15, 2020 3:19 pm Thus far, I think everyone’s predictions are quite close to the numbers we’ll end up seeing..

This will be a tight one to determine the winner ..

Thanks to all for your participation. Keep those predictions coming!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

I hope we're all drastically low.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Mon Mar 16, 2020 10:08 pm

guy4omaha wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 8:21 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Sun Mar 15, 2020 3:19 pm Thus far, I think everyone’s predictions are quite close to the numbers we’ll end up seeing..

This will be a tight one to determine the winner ..

Thanks to all for your participation. Keep those predictions coming!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace
I hope we're all drastically low.

Me too. It would fall in line with my thought that these yearly estimates from the US Census have been lowballing the Omaha MSA/CSA..

We’ll know soon enough when the official 2020 US Census numbers come out in 2021...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **BRoss** » Wed Mar 18, 2020 9:01 pm

MSA: 951,250
CSA: 991,500

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 19, 2020 7:43 pm

One week away..

We have some excellent predictions thus far.. Keep ‘em coming...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

zippy · Post by **zippy** » Fri Mar 20, 2020 8:27 am

MSA: 953,123
CSA: 998,765

Omahacritic · Post by **Omahacritic** » Fri Mar 20, 2020 11:18 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Fri Mar 13, 2020 1:01 pm I forgot to mention-

The winner of this years MSA/CSA prediction (Whomever gets closest), gets a craft beer (or adult beverage) of choice courtesy of yours truly ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Dang, if you put it that way, I’ll get in.

MSA. 947500
CSA. 987500

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sat Mar 21, 2020 1:20 pm

Omahacritic wrote: Fri Mar 20, 2020 11:18 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Fri Mar 13, 2020 1:01 pm I forgot to mention-

The winner of this years MSA/CSA prediction (Whomever gets closest), gets a craft beer (or adult beverage) of choice courtesy of yours truly ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace
Dang, if you put it that way, I’ll get in.

MSA. 947500
CSA. 987500

Once we get through this pandemic, we’ll have a meetup and whoever wins our prediction, the adult beverage of choice is on me..

HR Paperstacks won a couple of years back, and I think I bought his lunch too..so I’ll throw that into our prediction winner mix as well

...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

guy4omaha · Post by **guy4omaha** » Sat Mar 21, 2020 3:03 pm

zippy wrote: Fri Mar 20, 2020 8:27 am MSA: 953,123
CSA: 998,765

Zippy, I like your optimism and I hope you're right or maybe even a tad low.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Tue Mar 24, 2020 1:43 am

Well folks, just 2 short days away from the estimates release this coming Thursday AM..

Still plenty of time to get a prediction in!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Omahacritic · Post by **Omahacritic** » Tue Mar 24, 2020 9:53 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Tue Mar 24, 2020 1:43 am Well folks, just 2 short days away from the estimates release this coming Thursday AM..

Still plenty of time to get a prediction in!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

I’m thinking how good that 25 year old Bunnahabhain will taste. Or maybe the Laphroaig 25

thenewguy · Post by **thenewguy** » Wed Mar 25, 2020 9:09 am

I'll be aggressive and say 3.5% growth for the city, putting it at around 482k. MSA: 2%'ish growth, around 970k, and CSA 1.5% growth, 985k-990k.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Wed Mar 25, 2020 5:03 pm

I like the aggressiveness

...

Estimates come tomorrow morning. One day left to get in your predictions!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **BRoss** » Wed Mar 25, 2020 6:42 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 1:20 pm HR Paperstacks won a couple of years back, and I think I bought his lunch too..so I’ll throw that into our prediction winner mix as well ...

I think that was in lieu of the beer since I don't drink. Looking forward to the numbers coming out.

Garrett · Post by **Garrett** » Wed Mar 25, 2020 7:53 pm

I'll stick to my annual guess of....

ONE PERSON!!!!!!!

If not, 952,500
990,500

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:34 am

An early map showing population change % between counties from 2010 to 2019.. Early data release. What I’m seeing so far, shows a positive sign that the Omaha MSA/CSA had a healthy growth year.. Especially Douglas and Sarpy counties (no surprise there, lol)..

https://www.census.gov/content/census/e ... 444662.jpg

Stay tuned for more updates as they’re released. Have a good night...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 7:10 am

The Omaha MSA clocked in at 949,442 for 2019, an increase of 8472 over last year. More to follow..

https://www.omaha.com/news/local/omaha- ... 65c6e.html

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 8:57 am

Omaha also moved up 2 places to the 57th largest MSA after clocking in at #59 for most of the decade..

More to follow (including CSA numbers)...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

skinzfan23 · Post by **skinzfan23** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:03 am

Here is a comparison of Omaha to the Iowa metros:

ita · Post by **ita** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:07 am

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2020 7:10 am The Omaha MSA clocked in at 949,442 for 2019, an increase of 8472 over last year. More to follow..

https://www.omaha.com/news/local/omaha- ... 65c6e.html

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Solid and consistent with the last decade. I like that we are growing at a sustainable rate that is not overburdening our infrastructure (at least not the level of Austin or other faster growing mid-size metros), but I hope recent planning and development efforts like Blueprint, UNMC's potential expansion, Omaha's and Lincoln's Chambers' Opt-In, and local and state transportation projects will help create more jobs and bring more people to the region.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:00 pm

ita wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2020 11:07 am
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2020 7:10 am The Omaha MSA clocked in at 949,442 for 2019, an increase of 8472 over last year. More to follow..

https://www.omaha.com/news/local/omaha- ... 65c6e.html

Ciao..LiO...Peace
Solid and consistent with the last decade. I like that we are growing at a sustainable rate that is not overburdening our infrastructure (at least not the level of Austin or other faster growing mid-size metros), but I hope recent planning and development efforts like Blueprint, UNMC's potential expansion, Omaha's and Lincoln's Chambers' Opt-In, and local and state transportation projects will help create more jobs and bring more people to the region.

I agree.. It looks like the Omaha CSA clocked in at 986,002.. So good, solid growth for sure..

Based on my eyeball test it also looks like you won the contest this year ita.. So adult beverage of your choice and lunch is on me..once the quarantine and social distancing situation ends...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

TitosBuritoBarn · Post by **TitosBuritoBarn** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:52 pm

It looks like they knocked Omaha's 2018 estimate down by about 1200 people.

It also looks like Ames added a county this year... Boone I would guess. They have 25,000 more people in their counts than last year.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Mar 26, 2020 8:16 pm

TitosBuritoBarn wrote: Thu Mar 26, 2020 12:52 pm It looks like they knocked Omaha's 2018 estimate down by about 1200 people.

I saw that..

I’ve thought for some time now, the US Census annual estimates have been lowballing the Omaha MSA/CSA populations..

I remember when the official 2000 and 2010 US Census numbers came out, how pleasantly surprised I was that the population growth numbers were higher than the annual estimates.. We’ll know soon enough as the official 2020 US Census numbers come out next Spring...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

ricko · Post by **ricko** » Fri Mar 27, 2020 12:22 am

Just a reminder to make sure everyone fills out their census forms on-line. You should have received the forms in the mail with your access code. Takes about 5 minutes. Due date is April 1, although I just read somewhere that it was pushed back to May 1, not sure.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Fri Mar 27, 2020 10:25 am

ricko wrote: Fri Mar 27, 2020 12:22 am Just a reminder to make sure everyone fills out their census forms on-line. You should have received the forms in the mail with your access code. Takes about 5 minutes. Due date is April 1, although I just read somewhere that it was pushed back to May 1, not sure.

Agreed ricko

..

I did my 2020 Census on line a couple of days ago. It was super easy and took less than 10 minutes..

Let’s get counted!...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sat Apr 04, 2020 11:15 am

HR Paperstacks wrote: Wed Mar 25, 2020 6:42 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Sat Mar 21, 2020 1:20 pm HR Paperstacks won a couple of years back, and I think I bought his lunch too..so I’ll throw that into our prediction winner mix as well ...
I think that was in lieu of the beer since I don't drink. Looking forward to the numbers coming out.

Oh yes, I do remember that now, lol..

If you get a chance and only if you have time, the tables you put together would be fantastic data for urban nerds such as myself to review. Again, only if you have time

...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Post by **BRoss** » Sat Apr 04, 2020 4:05 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 11:15 am If you get a chance and only if you have time, the tables you put together would be fantastic data for urban nerds such as myself to review. Again, only if you have time ...

If I remember right, the numbers by city come out a month or more after the Metro/CSA estimates. I'll have to see if I can find them.

Post by **BRoss** » Sat Apr 04, 2020 4:19 pm

Looks like the city data came out on May 23rd last year.

https://www2.census.gov/programs-survey ... 2010-2018/