2021 Weather thread-

[Busguy2010]

Another thing I noticed is the NWS lowered what is considered "normal" precipitation for May to 4.66" from 4.76". Gonna take me a while to accept that our recent dryness is actually lowering the bar. So with it being pretty exactly halfway through the month, we should be at 2.38" and we are at 1.61" so we are a little behind. This upcoming week looks like it may get us back on track. I'm realistically hoping for maybe an inch, but I'm still longing for one of the washout type weeks where we get 2" and more.

[Busguy2010]

Although it came down wonderfully around 1pm, it was pretty short lived. 0.28" so far with not much more forecast for the next 24 hours. Someone wash their car!

[Busguy2010]

Looks to be a decent amount of rain on tap tomorrow. About .3". And when I say decent I mean that in the least. .3" is .3", but we really need a lot more than that. We're quickly running out of time to get about 2.5" of rain by the end of the month.

[Omaha Cowboy]

All I know is, starting Friday thru Sunday (according to KETV) highs in the lower to mid 80’s- minimal wind and DRY.. We’re due for a multiple day stretch of dry, warm, later Spring weather..

Can’t wait ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[skinzfan23]

All I know is, starting Friday thru Sunday (according to KETV) highs in the lower to mid 80’s- minimal wind and DRY.. We’re due for a multiple day stretch of dry, warm, later Spring weather..

Can’t wait ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Yes, we are...I hurried up and mowed yesterday while I had the chance. That was the 3rd time in the past 8 days I have mowed.

[Louie]

All I know is, starting Friday thru Sunday (according to KETV) highs in the lower to mid 80’s- minimal wind and DRY.. We’re due for a multiple day stretch of dry, warm, later Spring weather..

Can’t wait ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Yes, we are...I hurried up and mowed yesterday while I had the chance. That was the 3rd time in the past 8 days I have mowed.

The grass is going crazy right now.

[Omaha Cowboy]

All I know is, starting Friday thru Sunday (according to KETV) highs in the lower to mid 80’s- minimal wind and DRY.. We’re due for a multiple day stretch of dry, warm, later Spring weather..

Can’t wait ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Yes, we are...I hurried up and mowed yesterday while I had the chance. That was the 3rd time in the past 8 days I have mowed.

The grass is going crazy right now.

Agreed guys..

Another rainy morning and afternoon today.. We need a break on rain from tomorrow through Sunday- then Mother Nature can open up the spigots again on Monday...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

I guess I'll never be in that boat guys. My lawn is small and yes, what grass I have is loving this rain. I don't care about my grass, but my garden and the overall ecology needs the rain, and I don't like above average temperatures, so I won't be hoping for warm and dry ever. Cheers to you all and enjoy it.

[Omaha Cowboy]

I guess I'll never be in that boat guys. I won't be hoping for warm and dry ever. Cheers to you all and enjoy it.

The thing is, it can’t always be wet, rainy and below average either.. Equally bad for the eco-system. So, as much as I like warmer, dry and sunny.. I am a home owner with a fairly significant lawn.. I realize we need a balance of both..

So this Thursday thru Sunday, if the forecast holds up, it will provide that warmer, sunny and dry balance..

Anywho-

One last thing- It’s about to be May 20th and not a hint of severe weather.. This is not the Omaha I grew up with in the 1970’s, 80’s or even 90’s.. Very unusual...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

I guess I'll give you this, it has been annoyingly raining a little bit all the time for the last week or so. I would also prefer it to be dry a few days a week, but above average temps can kick it. In my perfect world, it would rain 1-2" over the course of one event each week and be dry the rest, with maybe 80 tops for this time of year. As it stands, we are still quite behind on rain for the month. And yes, frustratingly very little excitement on the thunderstorm front.

[Busguy2010]

It has to rain 2.5" over the next 11 days to even reach the standard of the new normal the NWS put out. And I don't really like our odds to reach that... Though according to the NWS, the forecast is trending back to having a little bit of rain pretty much every day still in the forecast for this weekend, and not quite as warm. More like 83 tops with rain chances, when a few days ago they were saying 87 and no rain chances.

[Omaha Cowboy]

It would seem to be a complete shift of severe weather either directly to the south or straight east of the Omaha metro..

It’s like there is a cap (OmaDome) over the metropolitan area that keeps the unstable convergences/Gulf moisture needed to fuel a severe weather event.. This was not the case in the 70’s, 80’s, 90’s or even through 2010..since around that time- mild, calm springs/early summers for the most part..

Very unusual for this part of the country imo..at least very unusual for what I remember growing up with here in the Omaha metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

It would seem to be a complete shift of severe weather either directly to the south or straight east of the Omaha metro..

It’s like there is a cap (OmaDome) over the metropolitan area that keeps the unstable convergences/Gulf moisture needed to fuel a severe weather event.. This was not the case in the 70’s, 80’s, 90’s or even through 2010..since around that time- mild, calm springs/early summers for the most part..

Very unusual for this part of the country imo..at least very unusual for what I remember growing up with here in the Omaha metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

I agree, and it is frustrating to me. When I really started paying attention to the weather in around 2006 or 2007, I could count on at least a few to several fairly significant severe weather events.

I think we haven't had a single remarkable event since 2017, which is 4 years now. Actually 2017 was the last time Omaha was threatened enough to turn on the sirens for an event. I was out of town for the June 16, 2017 Bellevue tornadoes, so I don't know if the sirens sounded for that ( I'd bet they did). The last time I heard the sirens sound for a weather event was couple weeks earlier in 2017. Might have been like right around now in May 2017. Before 2017, I think we had an "alertable" event at least once a year, if not more. I'm waiting.

[Omaha Cowboy]

It looks like we could be in for some possible strong Thunderstorms this afternoon into the early evening.. Then a severe threat for Wed night into Thursday..

We’ll see if the Oma-Dome effect continues to scare the severe weather away from the metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[damonhynes]

It looks like we could be in for some possible strong Thunderstorms this afternoon into the early evening.. Then a severe threat for Wed night into Thursday..

We’ll see if the Oma-Dome effect continues to scare the severe weather away from the metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

That's okay--I'm trotting my azz to central KS on Thurs to see what's what!

[Omaha Cowboy]

It looks like we could be in for some possible strong Thunderstorms this afternoon into the early evening.. Then a severe threat for Wed night into Thursday..

We’ll see if the Oma-Dome effect continues to scare the severe weather away from the metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

That's okay--I'm trotting my azz to central KS on Thurs to see what's what!

Judging it by the effectiveness of the Oma-Dome this afternoon and evening, it should push that severe threat to Central Kansas pretty easily by late Wed Night into Thursday..

Have fun actually being in the action...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

I've been in Colorado the last few days. On Sunday on my way out, I encountered a monster supercell that had produced a tornado near Sterling CO. The most amazing storm experience I ever had. Now on the way back, looks like there is strong language coming from the NWS for West and Central Nebraska. Our first Moderate risk day of the year anywhere near Omaha.

[Omaha Cowboy]

The Oma-Dome effect looks to be pretty real. It’s likely the severe storms won’t pop up any closer than 50 miles from the greater Omaha Metropolitan area tonight..

What an intimidating force...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

I slept through all of it, so not sure how it went, but Eppley recorded .98" of rain, so that's good. Puts us at 3.42" on the month, but with a few small chances left, it's almost a guarantee we will finish short.

[Omaha Cowboy]

There were some rumbles of thunder..A few strikes of lightening..Then it rained off and on overnight. Nothing exciting or severe at all..

As expected- Oma-Dome proved once again to be an effective deterrent to severe weather in the Omaha metropolitan area ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

You know I'm fully enjoying this. Not too often you get 50's on memorial day weekend.

[damonhynes]

It looks like we could be in for some possible strong Thunderstorms this afternoon into the early evening.. Then a severe threat for Wed night into Thursday..

We’ll see if the Oma-Dome effect continues to scare the severe weather away from the metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

That's okay--I'm trotting my azz to central KS on Thurs to see what's what!

Judging it by the effectiveness of the Oma-Dome this afternoon and evening, it should push that severe threat to Central Kansas pretty easily by late Wed Night into Thursday..

Have fun actually being in the action...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Drove to Bartlesville, saw a lot of flooding, thankfully no hail, not much wind and no 'naders. No one else did, either, so I'll take it. :-)

[Omaha Cowboy]

It looks like we could be in for some possible strong Thunderstorms this afternoon into the early evening.. Then a severe threat for Wed night into Thursday..

We’ll see if the Oma-Dome effect continues to scare the severe weather away from the metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

That's okay--I'm trotting my azz to central KS on Thurs to see what's what!

Judging it by the effectiveness of the Oma-Dome this afternoon and evening, it should push that severe threat to Central Kansas pretty easily by late Wed Night into Thursday..

Have fun actually being in the action...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Drove to Bartlesville, saw a lot of flooding, thankfully no hail, not much wind and no 'naders. No one else did, either, so I'll take it. :-)

Sounds like a worthy trip..

Glad you made it back safely ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[damonhynes]

It looks like we could be in for some possible strong Thunderstorms this afternoon into the early evening.. Then a severe threat for Wed night into Thursday..

We’ll see if the Oma-Dome effect continues to scare the severe weather away from the metro...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

That's okay--I'm trotting my azz to central KS on Thurs to see what's what!

Judging it by the effectiveness of the Oma-Dome this afternoon and evening, it should push that severe threat to Central Kansas pretty easily by late Wed Night into Thursday..

Have fun actually being in the action...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Drove to Bartlesville, saw a lot of flooding, thankfully no hail, not much wind and no 'naders. No one else did, either, so I'll take it. :-)

Sounds like a worthy trip..

Glad you made it back safely ...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Thanks! ;-)

[Omaha Cowboy]

Couldn’t ask for a more perfect weather day to get outside and enjoy the holiday- highs in the mid 70’s and sunny..

I see towards the tail end of this week, starting Thursday, the high temps heating into the upper 80’s...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Busguy2010]

So, it is official now. We finish May 2021 with a 1.26" moisture deficit. And that is despite the NWS reducing the "normal" moisture to 4.66" from 4.76". We are not in good shape, moisture-wise. On the 2020 decade, we are currently 11.65" in the hole. I will continue keeping track.

[BastiColler]

Is it just me, or does it seem like our severe weather frequency has been diminishing over the years? I remember back in the day, every spring and summer we would get awesome thunderstorms and weather events...Now it’s just rain, and maybe some thunder if we are lucky.

Maybe it flip flopped to winter? We have had some pretty good winters in terms of snowfall the past few years.

[Louie]

I'm sure this has been discussed in the forum, but many studies have shown that Tornado Alley has been shifting to the South and East over the past several decades.

[damonhynes]

I'm sure this has been discussed in the forum, but many studies have shown that Tornado Alley has been shifting to the South and East over the past several decades.

Also, there are more people in the S-SE than before, so more people to report, more radars, etc.

And large historic tornado outbreaks in that area aren't unknown--1840, 1883, 1884, 1936, 1974 to name a few.

[Busguy2010]

Yeah, so far the severe weather season has been super lame. Not encouraging seeing that our last really exciting storm to hit Omaha was over 4 years ago, not one tornado warning since, and maybe 5 severe thunderstorm warnings over that span. Normally June is our most active month, so there's still time, but not a lot. It figures I'm out of town the 17th - 20th, so there will probably be a big storm during that weekend.

[Louie]

I'm definitely in the minority in this forum, but I don't mind missing out on severe weather. I have seen and suffered tornado damage up close and personal and I have no interest of seeing anymore.

[skinzfan23]

I'm definitely in the minority in this forum, but I don't mind missing out on severe weather. I have seen and suffered tornado damage up close and personal and I have no interest of seeing anymore.

Glad I am not alone. I have experienced first-hand a tornado when I was 3 in my dad's truck in our driveway (no time to get out) and also 4 years ago as an adult in Bellevue. No thank you to seeing any more.

On the other hand, I do love a good thunderstorm as long as they don't contain hail either.

[Busguy2010]

Our lack of severe weather is probably a big contributing factor as to why we were behind in moisture so much last year, and haven't made up much ground so far this spring. I'd never hope for destruction or anything like that, but a good strong storm is what we need every few weeks to get to our necessary moisture level without it raining constantly. These little half inch rain events every few weeks aren't gonna cut it. We could really benefit from an actual good rain event like 2" + over the course of a couple hours. I can't remember the last time we had a good one like that. And by that, I mean like a good big storm comes in, gives us its big amount of moisture, and is out of the picture as quickly as it showed up. That's what we've been missing, especially last year. We only really had one big rain even this year, and the rest have been dink and dunk. Kinda frustrating, like watching the Huskers throw swing passes and 5 yard outs and never getting a big chunk play.

[Omaha Cowboy]

I'm definitely in the minority in this forum, but I don't mind missing out on severe weather. I have seen and suffered tornado damage up close and personal and I have no interest of seeing anymore.

Glad I am not alone. I have experienced first-hand a tornado when I was 3 in my dad's truck in our driveway (no time to get out) and also 4 years ago as an adult in Bellevue. No thank you to seeing any more.

On the other hand, I do love a good thunderstorm as long as they don't contain hail either.

Neither of you are alone. I have also experienced a Tornado first hand..While it’s sensationalized in the movies and television, it is one of the most frightening things one will ever encounter in life..

That said, I tease the “Oma-Dome effect”..But the reality is, it’s highly unusual for this part of the country to miss out on spring severe weather events time and time again. We’re due. It’s just a matter of when...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

[Louie]

I'm definitely in the minority in this forum, but I don't mind missing out on severe weather. I have seen and suffered tornado damage up close and personal and I have no interest of seeing anymore.

Glad I am not alone. I have experienced first-hand a tornado when I was 3 in my dad's truck in our driveway (no time to get out) and also 4 years ago as an adult in Bellevue. No thank you to seeing any more.

On the other hand, I do love a good thunderstorm as long as they don't contain hail either.

Neither of you are alone. I have also experienced a Tornado first hand..While it’s sensationalized in the movies and television, it is one of the most frightening things one will ever encounter in life..

That said, I tease the “Oma-Dome effect”..But the reality is, it’s highly unusual for this part of the country to miss out on spring severe weather events time and time again. We’re due. It’s just a matter of when...

Ciao..LiO...Peace

Due or not, you cannot deny that the climate in this region has changed over the years. This may be more of a sign of things to come than anything else.

[skinzfan23]

Our lack of severe weather is probably a big contributing factor as to why we were behind in moisture so much last year, and haven't made up much ground so far this spring. I'd never hope for destruction or anything like that, but a good strong storm is what we need every few weeks to get to our necessary moisture level without it raining constantly. These little half inch rain events every few weeks aren't gonna cut it. We could really benefit from an actual good rain event like 2" + over the course of a couple hours. I can't remember the last time we had a good one like that. And by that, I mean like a good big storm comes in, gives us its big amount of moisture, and is out of the picture as quickly as it showed up. That's what we've been missing, especially last year. We only really had one big rain even this year, and the rest have been dink and dunk. Kinda frustrating, like watching the Huskers throw swing passes and 5 yard outs and never getting a big chunk play.

Actually the 1/2 in rains are probably more beneficial than anything. If you get a quick 2 in in a hour or so, yes it reduces the in deficit, but most of that would be runoff and isn't actually absorbed into the ground.

[Busguy2010]

I get that but it would have to rain a half inch like every 9 days to meet our needs and that just hasn't happened. We have so much ground to make up that we basically can't afford any sort of prolonged hot/ dry period. Hoping we get a good rain some time soon just to gain a little momentum and not be constantly coming from behind. Not very hopeful on that front for this forecast period though.

[Louie]

I get that but it would have to rain a half inch like every 9 days to meet our needs and that just hasn't happened. We have so much ground to make up that we basically can't afford any sort of prolonged hot/ dry period. Hoping we get a good rain some time soon just to gain a little momentum and not be constantly coming from behind. Not very hopeful on that front for this forecast period though.

Yeah the 10 day forecast is reminiscent of typical late July.

[Busguy2010]

Not loving it.

[Omaha Cowboy]

It’s definitely wash/wax my car weather. Which I’ll happily do mid morning tomorrow..

I welcome the warmer, summer like temperatures.. It’s been awhile...

Ciao..LiO...Peace