2021 Weather thread-

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:50 pm

Brad wrote: Thu Jun 17, 2021 3:44 pm Its the CWS, It will be just enough rain to keep the humidity sky high!

Oh that reminded me of the other thing weird about the weather the past few years. During the CWS, we could almost always count on a huge storm rolling through and ruining one of the games. That hasn't happened in a long time now.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Jun 17, 2021 5:24 pm

I can't confirm it because the NWS records are malfunctioned for that month of that year, but I do believe today will be the first day we've gotten toward the mid 100's since some day in August of 2017 when it was - I think - 103. Just wonderful.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Jun 17, 2021 10:31 pm

Only positive I can derive from this is that after today, the rest of the weekend at mid 90's should feel wonderful after being acclimated to this |expletive|.

And much to my liking, the forecast for Monday and Tuesday keep trending down. NWS currently has us at a high of 75 on Monday which is fricken unbelievable.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Fri Jun 18, 2021 3:38 am

Sean Everson just declared today our "Hottest day in almost nine years". So the last hottest day must have been during the 2012 Heat Wave. Kinda hard to tell cause the NWS records don't function correctly, but it looks like it was July 25th, 2012 when it was 105 or 106.

It doesn't seem like it, but I guess it is pretty rare for highs to get solidly above 100 (I'd consider that 102+). Last time I remember was some time in August 2016 or 2017 when it got up to 103. Needless to say, I'm glad this is rare weather, and that in just a few days, I can finally catch my breath. Monday and Tuesday look NICE.

Winds shift to coming out of the north early this morning, then shift to back from the south after only a short period, then they REALLY shift to from the north Sunday night, providing us a massive, well appreciated cool down. Could get down to 52 Tuesday morning, a 53 degree cool down from the peak of today. AHHH.

GetUrban · Post by **GetUrban** » Fri Jun 18, 2021 2:21 pm

Wow, that cool shot next Monday is going to feel great! Then hopefully temps will top-out in the 80s the rest of the week. CWS fans will appreciate it too. We had some quick thunderstorms pass through in my neck of the woods this morning, but very little rain.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Fri Jun 18, 2021 4:15 pm

Wow, and it keeps going down for Monday. NWS currently saying 71 for a high.

It started at 82, then to 79, 75, now 71. I hope so badly that it stays that low. If it does, then most of the day will be In the 60's. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if that is record low high territory. The record low itself is 46 for June 22nd, and the forecast is currently 52, so not terribly far off. What a relief.

skinzfan23 · Post by **skinzfan23** » Fri Jun 18, 2021 6:48 pm

It may just be me, but I never find the NWS to be very accurate for future forecasts, for that I think the local news channels are more accurate.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Fri Jun 18, 2021 10:46 pm

Pretty dramatic.. Yesterday Omaha recorded its highest temperature for the month of June in 68 years.. Then Monday we’ll have a high temp about 35 degrees lower and a could then set a record low temp for the 22nd..

Topsy-Turvy is an understatement, lol…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Jun 19, 2021 1:22 am

NWS moderated a little bit, back up to 75, but that would be okay. This is what happens when you check the forecast 5 - 10 times a day.

And the reprieve appears to be brief, with 90s appearing back at the tail end of the forecast period.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Jun 19, 2021 2:01 am

Wow, forecast language changed drastically to heavy rain and 1.5" of rain early Sunday morning.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 5:03 am

Omaha now in a Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 5am..

Omaha, as is the pattern lately, will likely see no severe weather.. But a significant rain event would be nice..and much needed…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 3:02 pm

Wow, officially was only about a third of an inch, though it sounded like more than that. I guess it was in and out pretty quick. Was in the process of falling asleep when it started, but I heared some pretty close CG lighrning. Overall it gets a boo from me 4/10 tops.

Also NWS bumped tomorrow up to 76, not quite as good a cool down they were talking about, but much more appreciable than 95 or 105. Then our lousy roommate is back with 90s to finish the week. So I won't get used to 70's but it'll be hard to go back to 90+.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sun Jun 20, 2021 5:54 pm

More than a half an inch of needed rain in my area of west Omaha. Much needed. We could also see thunderstorms this afternoon after 3pm..so there is a chance there. I’d like to see that hit because it looks like the next best chance for rain won’t be until Thursday…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

skinzfan23 · Post by **skinzfan23** » Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:10 pm

Wow, yet again where I think Bellevue got quite a bit more rain. Seems to miss the majority of the metro most of the time. But we got .70 in.

Post by **Brad** » Tue Jun 22, 2021 1:26 pm

skinzfan23 wrote: Mon Jun 21, 2021 2:10 pm Wow, yet again where I think Bellevue got quite a bit more rain. Seems to miss the majority of the metro most of the time. But we got .70 in.

I got 1.06 between the rain and the sprinkler system. I don't typically run the sprinklers when its going to rain, but its been hot and I didn't expect anything decent. That said I would guess it was 1/3 from the sprinkler and 2/3 from the sky.

Post by **Brad** » Tue Jun 22, 2021 1:42 pm

Looks like the SPC has us in the outlook for the next 3 days.

Tuesday 6/22 - Slight
Wednesday 6/23 - just outside the marginal
Thursday 6/24 - Middle if the Slight

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Tue Jun 22, 2021 5:17 pm

Lools like a decent chance for severe weather Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. The dewpoint is supposed to be 70 and the temperature 92, so that's part of the puzzle.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Wed Jun 23, 2021 1:01 am

It’s raining in my neck of the woods in west Omaha right now…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Louie · Post by **Louie** » Wed Jun 23, 2021 1:29 am

Yeah, we had a very light and short rain in Dundee.

Post by **Brad** » Wed Jun 23, 2021 2:00 am

Beautiful Super Cell out by York this evehing!

Post by **Brad** » Wed Jun 23, 2021 5:59 pm

SPC has added an enhanced risk area for today from Seward to Lexington from Hastings to about Norfolk. We are in the slight risk. Biggest risk is for wind and hail, small chance of an isolated tornado.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Jun 23, 2021 7:15 pm

Ah, unfortunate. They all appear to be late night and very early morning events. I probably won't even try to stay up that late or wake up that early to enjoy them. Decent amount of rain forecasted though. Could be in the inch range.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed Jun 23, 2021 11:39 pm

NWS still saying after 3am, but Bill Randby was talking more like midnight. Still the forecast looks pretty impressive the next few days. Just too bad they happen mainly during sleepy time.

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:19 pm

Well, that was more like it. Wind, big lightning, a bit of hail and a ton of rain. And the promise of more this afternoon. Where was this moisture in May--y'know, during tornado season?

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pm

That was a pretty big storm. I read 12,000 OPPD customers are without power this morning. Looks like much needed rain as well. More storms possibly later this afternoon too..

Also, May and June are the most active months in Omaha for severe weather- including Tornadoes…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Post by **Brad** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 2:21 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pm Looks like much needed rain as well.

I got an inch in just 40 min last night from 2:50 to 3:30. Total was 1.1

rain.jpg

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pmMore storms possibly later this afternoon too..

Looks like the target is a little to our south, but hope we get some more good rail

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pmAlso, May and June are the most active months in Omaha for severe weather- including Tornadoes…

I agree, I can remember lots of big storms in June, around the CWS.

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 5:56 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pm That was a pretty big storm. I read 12,000 OPPD customers are without power this morning. Looks like much needed rain as well. More storms possibly later this afternoon too..

Also, May and June are the most active months in Omaha for severe weather- including Tornadoes…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Well, there are thunderstorms and there are thunderstorms. Similarly, not all tornadoes are created equal. I'm looking for supercells, not spinups like Hyda Hills in 2017 or West Omaha in 2016 or Lake Manawa 2016.

Roughly speaking, I figure the season for supes is May 1 - June 15. Ish. The rule of thumb has served me well, and did again last night. Thursday morning was a thoroughly enjoyable high summer squall line/derecho--but it wasn't a supe.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 8:04 pm

The last supercell I actually know of was May 11th, 2014. There have been other nasty storms since then, such as the Bellevue tornadoes. But they weren't supercells.

Post by **Brad** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 9:53 pm

Busguy2010 wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 8:04 pm The last supercell I actually know of was May 11th, 2014. There have been other nasty storms since then, such as the Bellevue tornadoes. But they weren't supercells.

Know of where? Douglas County? Metro Area?

I took this one on Blair High Road at Dutch Hall Road (Douglas / Washington County lines) facing north towards Kennard.

August 23rd, 2016.

mothership.jpg

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:32 pm

damonhynes wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 5:56 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pm Also, May and June are the most active months in Omaha for severe weather- including Tornadoes…

Ciao..LiO…Peace
Roughly speaking, I figure the season for supes is May 1 - June 15. Ish.

Kinda splitting hairs there..don’t cha think?

…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:34 pm

Brad wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 2:21 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pmAlso, May and June are the most active months in Omaha for severe weather- including Tornadoes…
I agree, I can remember lots of big storms in June, around the CWS.

Yes indeed. And I can remember being caught up in a few of those big storms while attending the CWS over the years…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:45 pm

The one I was referring to from 2014 was the last supercell that I remember hitting within Omaha city limits. There have been several within a one or two county radius in any direction since then. But I can't recall any other bonafide supercells hitting Omaha since then.

Getting pretty hairy looking out there. Wouldn't be surprised by a severe thunderstorm warning or even the sirens going off.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:48 pm

For the record, it’s raining cats and dogs in SW Omaha right now..some impressive lightening and thunder too…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 12:13 am

Further south it is hairier. It is a crazy day down closer to KS. Sarpy county had a severe thunderstorm warning, but not Omaha. In central Omaha isn't all that crazy. A couple of good CG strikes earlier, but it seems to have wound down. Might get a second wave later, but for now it has calmed down considerably.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 2:36 am

Yeah..

The NWS Omaha just Tweeted “potentially tornadic circulations rapidly intensifying near the NE/KS border”…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Post by **Brad** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 3:19 am

I got a cool rainbow after the storms cleared out.

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 12:56 pm

Brad wrote: Fri Jun 25, 2021 3:19 am I got a cool rainbow after the storms cleared out.

Brad, if you're able to get out, there are about 30 autoracks on their side on the BNSF, east of MM 8 on I-29. I drove past it last night, within 30 minutes of it happening.

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 1:14 pm

Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 11:32 pm
damonhynes wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 5:56 pm
Omaha Cowboy wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 1:56 pm Also, May and June are the most active months in Omaha for severe weather- including Tornadoes…

Ciao..LiO…Peace
Roughly speaking, I figure the season for supes is May 1 - June 15. Ish.
Kinda splitting hairs there..don’t cha think? …

Ciao..LiO…Peace

Yeah, especially since Ma Nature doesn't listen to me, last night is an example! :-)

Post by **Brad** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 1:32 pm

damonhynes wrote: Fri Jun 25, 2021 12:56 pm Brad, if you're able to get out, there are about 30 autoracks on their side on the BNSF, east of MM 8 on I-29. I drove past it last night, within 30 minutes of it happening.

Did the storm blow them over?

Hope they are empty, dealerships around here don't need any more supply disruptions.

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Fri Jun 25, 2021 1:39 pm

Brad wrote: Fri Jun 25, 2021 1:32 pm
damonhynes wrote: Fri Jun 25, 2021 12:56 pm Brad, if you're able to get out, there are about 30 autoracks on their side on the BNSF, east of MM 8 on I-29. I drove past it last night, within 30 minutes of it happening.
Did the storm blow them over?

Hope they are empty, dealerships around here don't need any more supply disruptions.

Yep, it was the storm. Those cars been stored on a passing track for at least six months. There are several cuts along this line, I think there's one closer to Pac Jct. and at least one south of the IA-MO line. They're those permanently-coupled 2-car units, which probably made it easier to topple.