2022 Weather Thread

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 12:42 am

Severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for Omaha.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0160.html

“Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible”

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:29 am

Severe thunderstorm warning for Omaha…

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:34 am

Looking pretty likely we could hear the sirens tonight. Tornado warning soitheast of Lincoln and tracking directly toward Omaha from the SSW.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:40 am

Possibly…but mostly a damaging wind/hail threat here. Also flooding is starting to become a real concern with storms moving up from the south merging with storms moving in from the west basically right on top of Omaha. Going to be some very heavy rain for an extended period of time looks like.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:41 am

Ping pong sized hail reported in Louisville moving north toward Omaha…

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:49 am

Severe threat is rapidly decreasing in Omaha itself as the 2 lines of storms merge on top of us and things are transitioning to heavy rain in town. A new line is forming east of Omaha that will probably be the main line of severe storms soon…

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:53 am

Cycling though so Omaha my not entirely be in the clear “yet”…

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 2:07 am

stormchaser wrote: Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:53 am Cycling though so Omaha my not entirely be in the clear “yet”…

I see what you mean about it dissipating. It practically fell apart in 20 miles.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 2:19 am

Yeah, lines competed with each other killed it. Flooding is unlikely too now but hopefully some decent rain totals at least.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 2:20 am

Yeah, that's really fizzling out. Hardly any rain now that the leading edge has passed.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 2:20 am

Still some hail potential as things cycle and try to build back up too…but risk is very low locally now.

Cermak · Post by **Cermak** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 2:29 am

We got some nice much needed rain in SW Omaha, at least a quarter inch. Top wind gust was maybe 20-30 mph. No hail.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 2:47 am

Okay, I take that back, this has turned in to a really decent rain, and should go on for a good while.

Cermak · Post by **Cermak** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 6:34 pm

1/2 inch of rain when I checked my rain gauge this morning at my house 114th & Center area.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 10:04 pm

Its been an outstandingly wet period over the last several days, with more to come. Only Sunday and Tuesday without rain chances with rain through the forecastable future.

Louie · Post by **Louie** » Sat Apr 30, 2022 10:07 pm

Busguy2010 wrote: Sat Apr 30, 2022 10:04 pm Its been an outstandingly wet period over the last several days, with more to come. Only Sunday and Tuesday without rain chances with rain through the forecastable future.

I threw down grass seed at a rental of ours last week and couldn't be happier ha.

Post by **Brad** » Sun May 01, 2022 12:54 am

Quick time-lapse from last night showing the clouds moving from south to north and then abruptly changing directions and racing from west to east.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sun May 01, 2022 4:08 pm

Sad and mesmerizing footage from KS from Friday (the same system that produced severe weather in parts of our area):

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Sun May 01, 2022 5:07 pm

Omaha 7-day forecast May 2 - May 8th

Check out the forecast for the next seven days in the Omaha area.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Sun May 01, 2022 6:26 pm

Coyote wrote: Sun May 01, 2022 5:07 pm Omaha 7-day forecast May 2 - May 8th

Check out the forecast for the next seven days in the Omaha area.

Yep, even some flakes of snow in central/western NE on Monday (possibly snow accumulations even out there). No severe weather is depicted in the Omaha area over the next 7 days currently (though that can quickly change obviously).

Right now the 12z HRRR and 12z ECMWF show the heaviest rain missing Omaha and staying to our west and south (with about .5" depicted here, around an inch of rain in the areas expecting the most). Either way, some nice rain for the area

12z HRRR simulated radar showing the rain (and snow out west) on Monday:

12z HRRR total QPF showing the areas of heaviest precip:

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Sun May 01, 2022 6:52 pm

Kansas tornado generated 165 mph winds as it destroyed homes

The tornado that damaged more than 1,000 buildings in south-central Kansas generated winds up to 165 mph and carved a path of destruction nearly 13 miles long.

Cermak · Post by **Cermak** » Sun May 01, 2022 7:24 pm

The Wichita area got hit pretty hard Friday. Was mainly on the eastside of town in the suburb of Andover. This suburb was hit by Tornadoes before in 1991.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Sun May 01, 2022 7:41 pm

There are some pretty incredible resident shot videos posted by residents on YouTube of that Andover Kansas tornado from Friday..

Let’s hope we never see anything like that hit the Omaha area this severe weather season…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Mon May 02, 2022 1:37 pm

Updated precip totals based on the latest 12z HRRR. Now showing around an inch of rain in the Omaha area through tomorrow at about Noon..

Post by **Brad** » Mon May 02, 2022 2:06 pm

stormchaser wrote: Mon May 02, 2022 1:37 pm Updated precip totals based on the latest 12z HRRR. Now showing around an inch of rain in the Omaha area through tomorrow at about Noon..

Good, we need it!

Also, if you haven't seen the panhandle this morning.

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Mon May 02, 2022 4:35 pm

Left Omaha at 430PM Friday, by the time I got just south of Beatrice at around 6 tornado warnings were firing up SW of town but there was not much in the way of storm structure. Temp never got above 68 all afternoon.

Took NE-112 S then W then S again--familiar route from when I went to Fort Riley to visit my oldest daughter. Insane lightning by this time--beautiful stuff. Never got much hail. Also, never got south of the storm, and since there were reports of a confirmed TOR around Washington KS I didn't want to corepunch. Got to State Line Road, bugged out and recovered back home.

If I'd gotten to the bear's cage 10-15 minutes earlier I might have been in a position to get to US-36 and see the meso from the SE, but I didn't and that's that. I haven't seen any photos from anyone else so maybe this tornado wasn't visible. I got what I could out of the storm and that's OK.

Coyote · Post by **Coyote** » Mon May 02, 2022 6:14 pm

Snow in western Nebraska closes Interstate 80 to Wyoming

Snow in the Nebraska panhandle is causing travel issues and closures Monday morning on Interstate 80.

Louie · Post by **Louie** » Mon May 02, 2022 6:34 pm

After the ongoing precipitation today (and later this week), I feel like we should be pretty well caught up.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Mon May 02, 2022 7:30 pm

Louie wrote: Mon May 02, 2022 6:34 pm After the ongoing precipitation today (and later this week), I feel like we should be pretty well caught up.

I haven't done a moisture report in a few months, so since you brought it up, what better time...

Although this rain has been great lately, we are actually still -2.42" of moisture on the year, and now -13.11" of moisture since January 2020...

I think since we are so chronically behind in moisture, that the ground is not moist very deep, meaning any moisture we do get has little sticking power.

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Mon May 02, 2022 9:37 pm

Snow is being reported in Grand Island now. Pretty crazy considering it's May 2nd. I realize it's not impossible to get snow this time of year but it's pretty rare for it to happen this far east this time of year...

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Mon May 02, 2022 9:40 pm

damonhynes wrote: Mon May 02, 2022 4:35 pm Left Omaha at 430PM Friday, by the time I got just south of Beatrice at around 6 tornado warnings were firing up SW of town but there was not much in the way of storm structure. Temp never got above 68 all afternoon.

Took NE-112 S then W then S again--familiar route from when I went to Fort Riley to visit my oldest daughter. Insane lightning by this time--beautiful stuff. Never got much hail. Also, never got south of the storm, and since there were reports of a confirmed TOR around Washington KS I didn't want to corepunch. Got to State Line Road, bugged out and recovered back home.

If I'd gotten to the bear's cage 10-15 minutes earlier I might have been in a position to get to US-36 and see the meso from the SE, but I didn't and that's that. I haven't seen any photos from anyone else so maybe this tornado wasn't visible. I got what I could out of the storm and that's OK.

Nice, I ended up bailing on chasing that day. My concern was it was just going to get too messy too quickly (too much forcing) and make it a difficult/frustrating chase in areas anywhere close (parts of central/southern KS along the dryline were okay but that was further south than I wanted to go this time). Still wish I was out there but I decided to hold off for a better setup for chasing...

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Tue May 03, 2022 12:32 pm

The threat of severe weather will start increasing again this coming Sunday/Monday (May 8th & 9th). The SPC has a day 6 and a day 7 outlook for our area. Based on the 00z ECMWF (and the text in the SPC outlook), additional severe weather looks relatively likely on Tuesday (May 10th) in our area as well but the SPC decided to hold off on issuing a relatively rare day 8 outlook.

Regardless, looking like several days of active/severe weather coming up. Based on the 00z ECMWF, parts of our area could be at risk Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday which would be kind of crazy to have a stretch like that. Only time will tell though...

Day 6 outlook (Sunday May 8th):

Day 7 outlook (Monday May 9th):

Tuesday May 10th (text from the SPC):
"...Monday/Day 7 and Tuesday/Day 8... On Monday, the models are again in reasonable agreement concerning moisture return in the central U.S., with the richest airmass of the season advecting northward into parts of the lower to mid-Missouri
Valley. With a potential for strong instability, surface dewpoints in the lower to mid-70s F, and a shortwave trough in southwest mid-level flow, will add a 15 percent area also for Monday over parts of the lower to mid-Missouri Valley. The same potential is forecast on Tuesday by some models solutions, but due to increased uncertainty on Day 8 at the furthest out range, will hold off on adding a severe threat area."

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Tue May 03, 2022 2:58 pm

Uggh, I posted the above forecast info about the upcoming severe weather threat on the "Nextdoor App" just to try it out once (I used to post forecast info on FB all the time and had a ~9,000 person following but have since stopped). The demographic on the Nextdoor app is older people so I'm not surprised I got the response I got but it's still annoying. "Okay, Mr Doom & Gloom". Umm nope, just sharing weather info and the potential with upcoming severe weather.

The only reason I was on the Nextdoor app to begin with was to respond to people whining about KETV (and the other local networks) severe weather coverage and how it was cutting into their shows too much (aka, completely self-centered/spoiled people). It was pretty ridiculous but again, not surprised.

I realize this post is only loosely related to weather but it needs to be said. This mentality that the "weather guy" is always wrong (untrue most of the time), sensationalizes things, hypes things up too much, is Mr. Doom and Gloom, etc etc etc. - just needs to stop. It's always from the same demographic of people who typically don't know the first thing about weather/forecasting and yet they run their mouths like experts and belittle everyone. Doing so is idiotic but it also could do real harm in causing other people to question/ignore the information being provided (hence the reason for this post). I have thick skin, I don't care about what's being said. I care about the harm it's probably (and needlessly) causing.

I'll get off my pedestal now, but I hope others will start calling these people out and sticking up for the weather guy going forward. Sure we aren't perfect, and we never will be, but the info provided is potentially life-saving information. Plain and simple..

Post by **Brad** » Tue May 03, 2022 4:04 pm

Nextdoor is horrible. Quite possibly the worst place on the internet. Twitter is my favorite social media by a long ways, and it's a fantastic platform for weather. Twitter being real time (Not an algorithm), and the ability to search words and hash tags makes it great for weather. Then if you have Tweet Deck, it takes organizing that data to a whole other level of greatness. Also, the tweet deck has no advertisements on it!

And before all the twitter haters come jumping in, I don't follow politics. I have every politician and many political words blocked/muted. Twitter is great for Arts, Sports, and Weather.

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Tue May 03, 2022 4:33 pm

Oh I hate Nextdoor. It is very cliqueish. I once joined to make a suggestion trying to point out a bad habit a bunch of dummies in the neighborhood had to correct it, only to get a bunch of "mind your own business", "Its my property I'll do what I want" type responses. I was like jeeze guys, it was a suggestion to improve the neighborhood, but I see we're not very neighborly. I even got a borderline threat. I was a member for all of about 12 hours. Like seriously, I would have never known I lived amongst such jerks if it weren't for the toxic Nextdoor app.

So I'm not surprised your attempt to inform your neighborhood about weather awareness was met with hostility.

Post by **Omaha Cowboy** » Tue May 03, 2022 9:08 pm

I don’t think I’ve ever logged on to Nextdoor..and I don’t think I ever will. Reddit Omaha is bad enough..

Regarding the weather, it looks like Omaha is right in the bullseye this coming Monday. But I know it’s early…

Ciao..LiO…Peace

stormchaser · Post by **stormchaser** » Wed May 04, 2022 12:57 pm

Updated SPC outlooks for our area (now up to 3 of them - and there will probably be more for Tuesday/Wednesday next week). To clarify, this doesn't mean each of these days we will for sure have severe weather. Some of these will occur during overnight hours, etc and most will be pretty scattered. Still, looks like a pretty active stretch...

Saturday (May 7th):

Sunday (May 8th):

Monday (May 9th):

damonhynes · Post by **damonhynes** » Wed May 04, 2022 3:23 pm

stormchaser wrote: Wed May 04, 2022 12:57 pm

A stormchasing friend of mine, Tim Marshall, said: "If it's May, chase."

Busguy2010 · Post by **Busguy2010** » Wed May 04, 2022 4:05 pm

Something I find interesting is how narrow the temperature range has been and will be. Between noon yesterday, and noon on Friday the low is 48 and the high is about 55. That's 96 hours of practically the same temperature. And I'm loving it cause that right there is pretty much my perfect temperature.

Cermak · Post by **Cermak** » Fri May 06, 2022 1:40 am

It really wasn’t a bad day today, just a slight breeze and temps in the 50’s. It was dry most of the day till a light mist started around 6 this evening.